Brian5671 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Agreed. Better to get some protracted strataform rains then days of misery mist. Any storms and heavy rain today will likely just run off. Earliest I have ever seen brown lawns around here. . Yeah we are burning out here too. So much for the big wet nino pattern at least so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 20 Author Share Posted May 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 FRG 85/65 at 10 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Soon. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 40 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: all the mesos this morning are impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 46 minutes ago, Uniblab said: Soon. two winters from now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 HRRR continues to be pretty wimpy most runs, the RRFS has consistently shown a stronger signal and the FV3 GFS and NAM do too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 12 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: HRRR continues to be pretty wimpy most runs, the RRFS has consistently shown a stronger signal and the FV3 GFS and NAM do too HRRR's still a bit out of range. 3K NAM is wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 88/67. Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Going to be interesting to see how much severe weather actually develops here this afternoon as the front is already moving east fast and runs from Milford PA southwest down to around Harrisburg with no mesoscale discussions or any severe watches/warnings anywhere-AS OF 12 NOON RWR from KCTP SPC Products Page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 88/70 with a heat index of 93 Still no 90. High of 89.3 so far but there's a very light sea breeze. Toasty on the south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 -51F at 35k feet. @nycwinter hoodie weather. Should beat any wx into NYC terminal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Sharp cutoff just to the NE of NYC for the weekend rains And it continues to appear that most of that rain will be Saturday and Saturday night into Sunday morning. The models still move the rain out for Sunday afternoon. Obviously it won't be beautiful with cloudy/cool weather, but there is hope that it will be dry for cookouts Sunday afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 90/66. LFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: And it continues to appear that most of that rain will be Saturday and Saturday night into Sunday morning. The models still move the rain out for Sunday afternoon. Obviously it won't be beautiful with cloudy/cool weather, but there is hope that it will be dry for cookouts Sunday afternoon and evening. meh-everything will be wet and waterlogged with overcast damp conditions. Monday is our only hope really for anything serviceable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 SWO from KWNS Severe Watch needed soon in Mid-Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 WWUS from KWNS Watch issued Mid -Atlantic south of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 92/68 now, sea breeze moving back and fourth but it's roasting out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 93/68 at my station. Wind more westerly keeping the sea breeze at bay for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Delayed but not denied on the heat for LI. 90-95 everywhere except barrier islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Yep. 93 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Made it up to 95 at my station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 91 in Brightwaters, which is quite impressive given our proximity to the Atlantic. Hottest day here so far note to self: don’t walk 9 miles in this heat. too late 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 93 at JFK and 95 in Atlantic City. Westerly wind doing it's thing. Dews around 60 so not opressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 SWO from KWNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Maybe some compressional heating near the barrier islands. Seeing a 96 and 97 in the Five Towns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Mesoscale Discussion 0804 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CDT Wed May 20 2026 Areas affected...portions of the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 201752Z - 201845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms will bring a risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail through this evening. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed soon. DISCUSSION...Latest surface observations indicate that surface temperatures have warmed into the low 90s F across portion of the Mid-Atlantic. Coupled with mid-60s F dewpoints, this is supporting 500-1000+ J/kg MLCAPE across the area, with further destabilization expected through peak heating this afternoon. Expectation is for ongoing thunderstorm activity across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234 to expand eastward, with additional development also possible along an approaching cold front. 20-30 kts of effective shear will support multicells, and perhaps marginal supercells. Steep low-level lapse rates (8+ C/km per latest objective analysis) and dewpoint depressions of 20-25+ F will promote the potential for damaging wind gusts, especially with any more well-organized clusters that develop. Isolated large hail may also accompany the most robust updrafts. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed soon. ..Chalmers/Hart.. 05/20/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM... LAT...LON 40567574 40837554 41157502 41447382 41547334 41607289 41607231 41517205 41297181 41077177 40877191 40667263 40517332 40347368 39997393 39627403 39217449 39127488 39147530 39327557 39787578 40567574 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Hit 95.5 IMBY so far per Mesonet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 WWUS from KWNS Severe T- Storm watch NYC- NJ and other parts of region WOUS from KWNS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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