nj2va Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS for 5pm Saturday. Chilly!!! I’m glad we’re heading south for the Memorial Day weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Thursday at 11:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:18 PM 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS for 5pm Saturday. Chilly!!! My newly planted garden asked me to tell you to stop posting this, but secretly, I’ll take any below normal temps from now until October. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted Thursday at 11:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:54 PM Given that we have a realistic shot of a 2.0+ °C El Niño this year, I decided to check how DCA has done snow-wise in those years. I used RONI, which goes back to 1950, and selected winters with ENSO >= 2.0 °C for DJF and JFM. 1972-73: 0.1" season total 1982-83: 27.6" season total, including 16.4" during the February 1983 blizzard 1991-92: 6.6" season total 2015-16: 22.2" season total, including 17.8" during January 2016 blizzard 50/50 odds, I'll take that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 01:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:05 AM 13 hours ago, Nomz said: Given that we have a realistic shot of a 2.0+ °C El Niño this year, I decided to check how DCA has done snow-wise in those years. I used RONI, which goes back to 1950, and selected winters with ENSO >= 2.0 °C for DJF and JFM. 1972-73: 0.1" season total 1982-83: 27.6" season total, including 16.4" during the February 1983 blizzard 1991-92: 6.6" season total 2015-16: 22.2" season total, including 17.8" during January 2016 blizzard 50/50 odds, I'll take that 97-98 oughta be on that list too, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: 96-97 oughta be on that list too, right? Per RONI, JFM for 96-97 was 1.8 so I didn't count it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 07:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 07:48 AM WB 6Z EURO. Sunday is now showing more rain as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 07:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 07:49 AM WB 6Z EURO precip. total through Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted yesterday at 07:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 07:59 AM I don’t believe the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted yesterday at 07:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 07:59 AM All signs point to a shift towards a wet pattern yet this is the three month drought outlook. What is the CPC smoking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 08:12 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:12 AM One of the WBAL Mets posted yesterday the update from WPC (I think) that it would take 7-14” of rain over the next 3 months just to get our t of severe drought status. Something like 14-21” to clear all drought status. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 11 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: 96-97 oughta be on that list too, right? 97-98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 5 hours ago, WxUSAF said: One of the WBAL Mets posted yesterday the update from WPC (I think) that it would take 7-14” of rain over the next 3 months just to get our t of severe drought status. Something like 14-21” to clear all drought status. Bring on the derecho’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 11 hours ago, Nomz said: Per RONI, JFM for 96-97 was 1.8 so I didn't count it Whoops I meant 97-98, lol What was the number that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Whoops I meant 97-98, lol What was the number that year? A couple of dustings and a little freezing drizzle in December, after that absolutely nothing, not even any false alarms, due to continuous warmth (dewpoints above 60 on January 8!!) Edited to add: Dulles' *low* on 1/8/98 was an incredible 62! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 13 hours ago, WxUSAF said: One of the WBAL Mets posted yesterday the update from WPC (I think) that it would take 7-14” of rain over the next 3 months just to get our t of severe drought status. Something like 14-21” to clear all drought status. Interesting.. my grass is greener than it's been in years. Surely the reservoirs are dry with such a bombastic analysis.. oh wait, no.. they aren't even close to being tapped 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Interesting.. my grass is greener than it's been in years. Surely the reservoirs are dry with such a bombastic analysis.. oh wait, no.. they aren't even close to being tapped The hell are you talking about? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: The hell are you talking about? Sorry.. its so dry that there is a 23% chance that the potomac basin reservoirs will be tapped within the next 6 months. Seeing how this area feeds the nation that's good news 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 43 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Sorry.. its so dry that there is a 23% chance that the potomac basin reservoirs will be tapped within the next 6 months. Seeing how this area feeds the nation that's good news If your argument is that its not dry this year then I got a bridge to sell you over the Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago 12 hours ago, Yeoman said: Sorry.. it’s so dry that there is a 23% chance that the potomac basin reservoirs will be tapped within the next 6 months. Seeing how this area feeds the nation that's good news The pattern finally changed, drought will be in the rear view mirror by the end of Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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