May 2026 Medium / Long Range

[frd]

[frd]

[JenkinsJinkies]

21 minutes ago, frd said:

Yeah niños aren’t kind to hurricanes.

[Eskimo Joe]

41 minutes ago, frd said:

Hope everyone got their snow fix last year. That's a black dog look for 2026-2027.

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Hope everyone got their snow fix last year. That's a black dog look for 2026-2027.

How bad we talking? 22-23?

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

How bad we talking? 22-23?

If it's a strong, basin wide El Nino then I mentally prepare for 1998 or 2022-23.

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

If it's a strong, basin wide El Nino then I mentally prepare for 1998 or 2022-23.

I know better than to announce last rites in May, but at what point would the look of winter be more or less revealed? Would we know by September wether or not it’ll be a dud or will it be like the last 2 winters where the outlook abruptly shifts around Halloween?

[Eskimo Joe]

18 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I know better than to announce last rites in May, but at what point would the look of winter be more or less revealed? Would we know by September wether or not it’ll be a dud or will it be like the last 2 winters where the outlook abruptly shifts around Halloween?

If it's a raging, basin wide El Nino in September, then it's time to just put the coffin in the ground IMO. We might get lucky with a 2016 like fluke, but I wouldn't bet money on it happening twice in a decade.

[stormy]

We may have a Nino failure if the PDO stays negative................................