May 2026 Medium / Long Range

[nj2va]

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS for 5pm Saturday.  Chilly!!!

I’m glad we’re heading south for the Memorial Day weekend. 

[nw baltimore wx]

2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS for 5pm Saturday.  Chilly!!!

My newly planted garden asked me to tell you to stop posting this, but secretly, I’ll take any below normal temps from now until October.

[Nomz]

Given that we have a realistic shot of a 2.0+ °C El Niño this year, I decided to check how DCA has done snow-wise in those years. I used RONI, which goes back to 1950, and selected winters with ENSO >= 2.0 °C for DJF and JFM.

1972-73: 0.1" season total

1982-83: 27.6" season total, including 16.4" during the February 1983 blizzard

1991-92: 6.6" season total

2015-16: 22.2" season total, including 17.8" during January 2016 blizzard

50/50 odds, I'll take that

[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, Nomz said:

Given that we have a realistic shot of a 2.0+ °C El Niño this year, I decided to check how DCA has done snow-wise in those years. I used RONI, which goes back to 1950, and selected winters with ENSO >= 2.0 °C for DJF and JFM.

1972-73: 0.1" season total

1982-83: 27.6" season total, including 16.4" during the February 1983 blizzard

1991-92: 6.6" season total

2015-16: 22.2" season total, including 17.8" during January 2016 blizzard

50/50 odds, I'll take that

96-97 oughta be on that list too, right?

[Nomz]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

96-97 oughta be on that list too, right?

Per RONI, JFM for 96-97 was 1.8 so I didn't count it