MJO812 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Prue11 said: Yay east winds and rain this upcoming weekend I would be thrilled but not this weekend. Have my son's baptism on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago GFS and to a lesser extent the CMC shunts it all to our SW via a blocking high over SE Canada. Still 5-6 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 6 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: 2009-10 was a west-based el nino, correct? 2010-11 is probably an exception to the strong la nina/SE ridge correlation because we got a really good winter here as well. Was there any ridge that winter? Yes 10-11 was pretty cold. It was our last deeply -NAO Winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Truck was frozen shut this morning. New plants are doing ok. We'll see about tonight. Winds are howling.... No surprise :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago cold but beautiful evening. getting in a 5+ mile jebber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: I would be thrilled but not this weekend. Have my son's baptism on Saturday. Timing stinks yet again. Thursday-Fri look awesome but not the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 37 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Timing stinks yet again. Thursday-Fri look awesome but not the weekend 40s and 50s with rain for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Tomorrow will start off with unseasonably cold temperatures. Lows will fall into the middle or upper 30s in New York City. Areas outside of New York City could experience a late-season freeze. Highs will reach the middle 50s. Wednesday will be somewhat milder. The temperature could approach or reach 70° on Thursday before another cooling trend commences. No significant rainfall appears likely through the foreseeable future. Some showers are possible during the weekend. There remains some risk for a more meaningful rainfall given the lead time involved. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -0.07 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.178 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 87% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.9° (2.2° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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