dmillz25 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. A west based mod niño would be good as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Barely any rain today. Cold. Awful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: We dont want it too strong for winter. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago i don't how next year we could beat this past winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: A west based mod niño would be good as well It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago I don't agree that you don't want the El Nino Strong, as long as it stays west-based. Number of examples is too low, and Stronger La Nina's (opposite) correlate with big SE ridge in the Winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 14 hours ago Author Share Posted 14 hours ago 36 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i don't how next year we could beat this past winter! We won't 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Waiting for the rain today was like waiting for paint to dry. When it did finally get here it felt like I missed a spot as only .07" fell here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 4 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. A strong nino is likely a 3 week winter like 15-16-hopefully with a big blizzard in there 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 10 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I don't agree that you don't want the El Nino Strong, as long as it stays west-based. Number of examples is too low, and Stronger La Nina's (opposite) correlate with big SE ridge in the Winter 2009-10 was a west-based el nino, correct? 2010-11 is probably an exception to the strong la nina/SE ridge correlation because we got a really good winter here as well. Was there any ridge that winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 33° here this am, record low for date. Again fell short yesterday with just 0.07" rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Low of 31.6. Most of the moisture from yesterday's showers froze into a heavy frost. Lots of ice on rooftops, cars, and grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Freeze this morning. Down to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 30.5 & 31.2 with frost at my stations this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12 hours ago, jm1220 said: It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983. Def would need a -WPO to help bring down arctic air in concert with the strong STJ but who knows at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 30.0⁰ low this am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago tonight looks cold and area wide freezes except probably in the city! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Another dry week on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 hours ago, psv88 said: Barely any rain today. Cold. Awful A light intermittent spritz between 1 PM and 4 pm is not going to cut it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 50 minutes ago Share Posted 50 minutes ago 13 minutes ago, Dark Star said: A light intermittent spritz between 1 PM and 4 pm is not going to cut it... Can't remember the last time we had a decent stratiform rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 34 last night. Looks to stay above freezing tonight for the city and close suburbs. So vegetables will be fine. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago 30.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago 31 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 34 last night. Looks to stay above freezing tonight for the city and close suburbs. So vegetables will be fine. . Probably not IMBY. It’s getting late to still have freezes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 10 minutes ago Share Posted 10 minutes ago I mean, snowflakes flew on May 9, 2020 and a freeze occurred on May 18, 2023 in some spots. And those were following very warm and nearly snowless winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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