Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,007
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad.


.

Strong Nino we can work with, a record or near record Nino is a blast furnace of wet Pacific hangover breath all winter. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Strong Nino we can work with, a record or near record Nino is a blast furnace of wet Pacific hangover breath all winter. 

Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This morning's low temperature in Central Park was 30°. That will likely be the last freeze this season.

Temperatures will likely top out in the middle 50s tomorrow. Afterward, it will turn warmer to end the week and start the weekend.

Temperatures will return to the 60s on Friday. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -17.45 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.494 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.0° (2.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly


.

So was 23-24 generally other than the one Feb storm. But it was really a Nina with an active Nino subtropical jet. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Coldest on my Davis was 29.1°F this morning. 30.0°F yesterday morning (4/8)

I'm a little surprised to be a bit warmer than some fellow LI posters considering I'm usually the coldest this time of year with my proximity to the water

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Coldest on my Davis was 29.1°F this morning. 30.0°F yesterday morning (4/8)
I'm a little surprised to be a bit warmer than some fellow LI posters considering I'm usually the coldest this time of year with my proximity to the water

There was a subtle amount of return flow so you likely had some light onshore wind. That would keep dews higher and reduce radiational cooling


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


There was a subtle amount of return flow so you likely had some light onshore wind. That would keep dews higher and reduce radiational cooling

Yea I checked my wind data from last night. Mostly calm but occasionally there was a light breeze from the south

Link to comment
Share on other sites


49 / 33 off a low of 25.  Could be coldest for a while (long).   Warmer today .  Much warmer Friday and weekend as a whole.  Much warmer period , 4/13 - 4/20.  With enough sun the hot spots could touch upper 80s / low 90s Wed/Thu.  Overall warmer with elavted heights / ridge into the east through and beyond mid month.

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES19/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites


 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 85 (2013)
NYC: 86 (1991)
LGA: 84 (1991)
JFK: 83 (2013)



Lows:

EWR: 26 (1977)
NYC: 25 (1977)
LGA: 26 (1977)
JFK: 28 (1977)


Historical:
 

1877 - Oregon Inlet, NC, was widened three quarters of a mile by a nor'easter. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)


1889: The Norfolk Landmark reported that damage was heavier than the August 1879 hurricane because it lasted for a much longer duration- the water was 18 inches higher. Rain, snow and sleet fell, totaling 3.2 inches. Drummonds Bridge was swept away (later replaced by the Ghent bridge). Trees were uprooted and roofs were torn off. (Ref. Virginia Weather History)

1917: Boston, MA recorded 9.1 inches of snow, which would stand as the April record until 1982 when 13.2 inches fell. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1947 - A tornado struck Woodward, OK, during the late evening killing 95 persons and causing six million dollars damage. The tornado, one to two miles in width, and traveling at a speed of 68 mph, killed a total of 167 persons along its 221 mile path from Texas into Kansas, injured 980 others, and caused nearly ten million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) A man looking out his front door was swept by a tornado from his home near Higgins TX and carried two hundred feet over trees. The bodies of two people, thought to be together at Glazier TX, were found three miles apart. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1953: As the Weather Bureau started a new era of tracking storms by radar, the first radar image of a tornado was detected by radar equipment at the University of Illinois Airport at Champaign, IL. Studies of the radar pictures from that day showed that a tornado of significant size and intensity could be detected. Fresno, CA tied a record for their latest freezing temperature of 32°. This record was tied on 4/7/1932 and 4/1/1975. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1973: A severe late season snowstorm was in progress across Iowa, southeastern Minnesota, northern Illinois, and southern Wisconsin. Wind gusts to 70 mph whipped the snow into 16 foot drifts in parts of Iowa. 10 to 20 inches of snow was common with 20 inches falling at Grand Meadow, MN and 19.4 inches piling up at Dubuque, IA. Richland Center, WI reported 12 inches; their greatest 24-hour total. 10.3 inches fell at La Crosse, WI setting their greatest 24-hour total. In northern Missouri it was the worst April blizzard on record.  Up to a foot of snow fell and wind gusts up to 60 mph piled drifts 6 to 10 feet high, leaving many motorists stranded. The storm claimed the life of one person. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
(April 8th-10th) Montana’s worst April blizzard left up to 1 foot snow and drifts to 10 feet in NW half of state. Winds to 60 mph blew vehicles off slick roads. 12,000 4-lb turkeys killed near Kirksville; drifts covering fences allowed cattle to walk to some major highways. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

1977 - A storm brought 15.5 inches of rain to Jolo, WV, in thirty hours. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - International Falls, MN, reported their sixth straight record high for the date, with a reading of 77 degrees. A cold front ushering sharply colder weather into the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 60 mph at Glasgow MT. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Residents of Sioux City, IA, awoke to find two inches of snow on the ground following a record high temperature of 88 degrees the previous afternoon. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Eighteen cities in the southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Eureka CA established a record for the month of April. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from the Central High Plains to Arkansas and northern Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned five tornadoes, and there were seventy reports of large hail and damaging winds. A tornado injured four persons at Ardmore OK, and thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Kellyville OK, and hail three inches in diameter at Halmstead KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1991: A large portion of the eastern U.S. was battered by severe thunderstorms with 503 severe weather events reported. 38 tornadoes touched down with the most significant one beginning its 18 mile path at Guthrie, KY. This F2 tornado did over $500,000 dollars in damage. 3 inch diameter hailstones fell in Switzerland County, Indiana. Two people were killed and 86 were injured from intense straight line thunderstorm winds exceeding 100 mph in West Virginia. 45 of the 55 counties in West Virginia reported wind damage. Total damage was estimated at $16 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
"The West Virginia Derecho of 1991" States Affected ....AR,TN, MS, AL, KY, IN, OH, WV, VA, MD, PA (Ref. For More Information)

1994: A tornado touched down 3 ½ miles west-southwest of Kismet, KS and moved east northeast across highway 54 and east into Meade County. It ended one mile southeast of Meade after doing extensive damage to Meade High School, power lines, and several business in southern MeadeTownship. Damage estimates were at $1.3 million dollars. In Seward County, a tornado struck a car and mobile home two miles east of Kismet, KS. Two adults were in the car and one adult and five children were in the mobile home. All eight sustained minor injuries and the mobile home was demolished. The tornado had a maximum path width of 1,000 yards in Seward County, but expanded to a maximum width of a mile southeast of Plains in Meade County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1995: A F5 tornado rips through the suburbs of Birmingham, Alabama killing 32, injuring 160, destroying 100 homes and severely damaging nearly 500 others. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
Glasgow, MT recorded 12.2 inches of snow in 24 hours; their greatest 24 hour snowfall on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2011 - An EF-3 tornado hits Mapleton, IA. Officials estimate more than half the town is damaged or destroyed but none of the 1200 residents were killed. 31 tornadoes were confirmed across Iowa, Kentucky, Tennessee and North Carolina on this day.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...