Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

[jm1220]

26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Gotta love how non representative these ASOS sites are sometimes

My local site showed 29 for the low and there’s definitely ice all over the place. The pine barrens near FOK radiate like crazy on a cold night and there are differences in small areas here where there are state parks, near a bay/ocean or where it’s more urbanized. I thought tonight was supposed to be the cold night since the freeze warning here’s for tonight.  

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Why can’t we get that?

Only 2 months away. In the meantime we rationalize 50s and sun as being nice spring days.

 

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Only 2 months away. In the meantime we rationalize 50s and sun as being nice spring days.

We were just hanging out in the neighborhood commenting on how nice it was when I realized we were actually -5 on the high. 

[CoastalWx]

Weren’t we told frosts are done at DAW?

[dendrite]

Let’s get this to verify 

[dendrite]

21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

We were just hanging out in the neighborhood commenting on how nice it was when I realized we were actually -5 on the high. 

55° and sun keeps feeling better right into June

[Ginx snewx]

Sping! (Sp)some understand 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

55° and sun keeps feeling better right into June

DGW

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Sping! (Sp)some understand 

Got the charts for CON?

[Typhoon Tip]

After today and tomorrow the patterning looks like 10 days ( to start ...) of persistent nondescript neutral Ts...  with 'tendencies' along the way for BN. It's just that typical model regression in mid spring tends to oversell cold looks in the mids and extended ranges.  Then combining that bias with "some kinda" coefficient CC forcing from the background state, together probably helps to suspend closer to neutral.  It's just harder to sustain below normal then it used to be decades ago.

The -NAO is looking pretty weak in the operational runs... tending to limit the physical manifestation of that index state by being both inconsistent with the magnitude of actual ridging up there, but also ranging placement between the western and eastern limb.  Which matters... east would allow warmer hgts to creep farther N over the mid latitude continent. I.e., maybe not as bad for warm enthusiasts here after all.  West variant, however, during a flaccid slackening gradient would probably cut off lows near Cape Cod and really ratchet up the Count Rugen torture. 

That said, there's still something of it there.  Because the behavior of transits; having trouble getting N of our latitude is -NAO suggestive.  Some amount of suppression is modeled nonetheless. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Got the charts for CON?

 

[dendrite]

I like the ens member with a high of 35° on May 1st

[weatherwiz]

Looks like we miss out on at least some isolated thunderstorms tomorrow night...looks to be back over PA. Looks to be associated with the approaching warm front and some decent lapse rates/elevated instability. Nice theta-e ridge too. Maybe some upslope snows though for the southern Greens? 

[dendrite]

36.1° -SN flurries

Happy 420

[Spanks45]

Well, at least the peach tree flowers were beautiful....after last night and tonight, we will not be eating fruit from those trees this year. Temp was 27.3⁰ this morning with heavy frost, can only imagine a few degrees lower tonight finish them off....

[SouthCoastMA]

Mother's Day at this point? looks like a stubborn cool/cold pattern..brutal