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March 2026


snowman19
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12 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


Yeah I should have been here watching the models with you guys. I was dealing with some issues, back for good now.


.

Welcome back man.  I was shocked when you didn't even come back for the blizzard.   

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Tomorrow will be noticeably warmer. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 60s in the New York City area. The warming trend will continue through the remainder of March with the temperature reaching the lower and middle 70s as March concludes on Monday.

April will also start with readings topping out in the lower to middle 70s, but a cold front will knock down temperatures shortly afterward. A wet period could follow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -8.86 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.443 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.5° (3.7° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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On 3/28/2026 at 8:20 PM, JustinRP37 said:

That is how you know it is spring in the northeast. Same plot every year now. Usually mid-week teases you with beautiful weather before the weekend is frigid, windy, and wet. 

March has been very warm. A couple of cooler days doesn't negate that fact. 

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