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March 2026


snowman19
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The weekend started on a cold note. Low temperatures included:

Boston: 27°
Danbury: 28°
Bridgeport: 31°
Islip: 32°
New York City: 31°
Newark: 31°
Philadelphia: 33°
Poughkeepsie: 25°
Sussex: 25°
White Plains: 27°

Tomorrow will become somewhat milder. The warming trend will continue through the remainder of March with the temperature reaching the lower and middle 70s as March concludes.

April will also start with readings topping out in the lower to middle 70s, but a cold front will knock down temperatures shortly afterward. A wet period could follow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -11.92 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.569 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.4° (3.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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23 minutes ago, psv88 said:

43 today. Warm week ahead and then another shitty weekend 

That is how you know it is spring in the northeast. Same plot every year now. Usually mid-week teases you with beautiful weather before the weekend is frigid, windy, and wet. 

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The warm spots like New Brunswick have a chance at another 1-2 March days reaching 70° and could get close to 2012.

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Mar Number of 70° days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1945 11 0
2 2012 8 0
3 1946 7 0
4 2026 6 3
- 1921 6 0
5 2016 5 0
- 1989 5 0
- 1948 5 0
- 1913 5 1
- 1910 5 2
- 1903 5 0

IMG_6012.thumb.png.753778f1a2841df135eac1d27fe3a0c3.png

IMG_6013.thumb.png.cf39e7ee542f1c00ed3d4dde6844e87b.png

 

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