2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm

[BristowWx]

45 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Of course it will snow, I’m leaving Wednesday to play the RTJ golf trail in Alabama. Gonna enjoy the golf

You’re fine.  Trust me.  I drink beer and I know things. 

[rjvanals]

And the Euro misses us to the south 

[DDweatherman]

3 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

And the Euro misses us to the south 

Already getting the POS de-amp south trend. It was over Erie PA yesterday morning... lovely. Maybe the euro stinks though. 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

Already getting the POS de-amp south trend. It was over Erie PA yesterday morning... lovely. Maybe the euro stinks though. 

What does POS stand for?

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

What does POS stand for?

Piece of shit  ...don't you remember the POS frontal passage threads from a few weeks ago? 

[jayyy]

Frederick Jack.

That’s how you know it’s highly unlikely lol.

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Piece of shit  ...don't you remember the POS frontal passage threads from a few weeks ago? 

So let me tell ya...I had assumed all this time that that's what it meant, BUT since I see it abbreviated here with capital letters sometimes, I wanted to make sure there wasn't a technical term I was missing, haha

[Paleocene]

18z euro says nah, generally. Just no

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Paleocene said:

18z euro says nah, generally. Just no

Look at the last 4 runs of the euro... the king alright. Maybe the models really having a hard time with upstream pattern behind the damn category 2 hurricane off New England? 

[Paleocene]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Look at the last 4 runs of the euro... the king alright. Maybe the models really having a hard time with upstream pattern behind the damn category 2 hurricane off New England? 

After it failed to even come close on the ultra bomb cyclone, I now view the euro as equivalent to the nam. Gfs is the king

[Ji]

13 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

And the Euro misses us to the south 

its not a miss--it has no storm

[ravensrule]

12 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

18z euro says nah, generally. Just no

We just need a 300 mile push North, that’s nothing. This puppy is going to hit us. 

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

We just need a 300 mile push North, that’s nothing. This puppy is going to hit us. 

I mean it shifted 300 miles south in 2 cycles.

[Grothar of Herndon]

23 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

18z euro says nah, generally. Just no

Congrats North Carolina

[mitchnick]

Eps 24hr qpf is south, but Eps snowfall mean is north. Qpf is low for snowfall which suggests maybe not many members are north?

 

[IronTy]

Even though the experts say there's no such thing as adrenal fatigue, after the last week I'm here to say it's 100% real.  

[Blizzard of 93]

The 18z AI Euro was well north of the Op Euro.

[Terpeast]

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

It’s a very standard way for us to score. Especially with marginal air masses. I’ve seen hella worse looks than this.

Damn it, I’m getting pulled back in. Wife is gonna be mad at me

[ravensrule]

Just now, Terpeast said:

Damn it, I’m getting pulled back in. Wife is gonna be mad at me

Has she ever not been?. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Here is the 18z AI EPS. Not much snow this run, but plenty of precip to tap into if it takes the right track, maybe there could be some potential.

[Nomz]

1 hour ago, Paleocene said:

18z euro says nah, generally. Just no

Wasn't this thing in like fucking Canada two runs ago?

[jayyy]

Yeah. I usually goff at this notion… but models probably do need to clear this current massive storm to get a grip. They’re all over the fuckin’ place

[jayyy]

00z was trash I assume lol

[Jake Wx]

[Jake Wx]

00z gfs

[Jake Wx]

[jayyy]

Amounts vary a bit each run, but it has had the same general 2-4” idea for the area since 6z with a very similar snow shield. Would be nice to see something other than the GFS show this though lol

[Alfoman]

Just now, jayyy said:

Amounts vary a bit each run, but it has had the same general 2-4” idea for the area since 6z with a very similar snow shield. Would be nice to see something other than the GFS show this though lol

Keep in mind though that temps are incredibly marginal in the DC metro and surrounding areas - would be a similar 33-35 and wet snow situation. Just not enough cold air to tap into here

[jayyy]

Keep in mind though that temps are incredibly marginal in the DC metro and surrounding areas - would be a similar 33-35 and wet snow situation. Just not enough cold air to tap into here

For sure. IMBY sport, of course. I’m not in the metros.

[rjvanals]

It’s hard not to trust the GFS, given how accurate it’s been this winter.