March Madness

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Definitely calling in sick Monday and staying up north. 
No way I’m driving back from N Conway in a snow storm.   

[Typhoon Tip]

Just compare the standard deviations for the cold in Alaska, versus the heat in the southwest

Whichever is of greater magnitude wins the debate 

 

[dendrite]

Haha HRRR is almost no snow here…mix to rain.

[tunafish]

Weird, weak arguments.

The primary urban heat island effect is at night.  

Also 40/50 states - lines are arbitrary and without a map they all disappear.

 

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Haha HRRR is almost no snow here…mix to rain.

NAM is little snow too. Not complaining.

[tunafish]

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

NAM is little snow too. Not complaining.

I wouldn't mind the QPF but keep the snow in ski country at this point.

[dendrite]

17 minutes ago, tunafish said:

I wouldn't mind the QPF but keep the snow in ski country at this point.

Screwed 6 ways from Sunday

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

“Only” 107° for Yuma today.

 6 100°+ readings for March there on record coming into this year (max 102°) and their last 4 days have been 103-106-109-107.

Nothing to see there. Completely normal 

[powderfreak]

6 hours ago, dendrite said:

“Only” 107° for Yuma today.

 6 100°+ readings for March there on record coming into this year (max 102°) and their last 4 days have been 103-106-109-107.

How has their urban development gone recently?  Any population explosions to cause this?

[ineedsnow]

31 with light snow 

[mahk_webstah]

Happy to say no snow here, though it probably is snowing at Brian’s 

[dendrite]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Happy to say no snow here, though it probably is snowing at Brian’s 

Barely. 

31.0° -SN

Just a dusting so far. It almost looks mixy at times…hard to tell in the early light. The flakes are heavily rimed though.

[dendrite]

Most models are flipping the rain in C/E MA over to snow tomorrow and then swing an inverted trough through during the evening bringing a N-S oriented band of snow. 

[powderfreak]

1.5” at home so far.  Snowing hard.

3” on upper mountain snow cam.

[dendrite]

Trying to stay safe 

[jbenedet]

Not even a dusting here. 

Vast majority of people around here won’t know even a flake has fallen. 

Bust on the advisory…

[dendrite]

Picking up again, but it’s still refrozen flakes with a sleet-like sound. Radar looks abysmal. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Hopefully bust number2 this weekend with the rains. Water still pouring out of the hillsides after all the snowmelt and recent heavy rains . The next week looks fairly dry other than a few showers 

[jbenedet]

We look good for persistent AN next week as we move to April. 

MJO phase 1/8 tendency which we’ve had a lot of flips to AN bias in early spring.

The EPS is already saying the same. 

That will feel really nice. 
 

A very nice early April for a change.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

How has their urban development gone recently?  Any population explosions to cause this?

It's hitting Flagstaff the hardest. Their previous highest temp ever recorded in March was 73. They are in the 80s for it looks like 4 days. No UHI cause for this SW warm up. 

[wxeyeNH]

26.9F  Light snow  1/4"

Light snow started around 630am.  It changed to light sleet for awhile.  Then went back to light snow.  Bigger flakes an hour ago.  Then is basically stopped and I could see south for 25 miles while it was snowing in Plymouth.  During the last 10 minutes light snow has resumed, vis about 1 miles but very small flakage.

[jbenedet]

Light rain here now

 

37/27

[CoastalWx]

Looks like guidance trying to flip to snow tomorrow morning. Then some inv trough stuff late tomorrow and tomorrow evening. 

[SnoSki14]

44 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

It's hitting Flagstaff the hardest. Their previous highest temp ever recorded in March was 73. They are in the 80s for it looks like 4 days. No UHI cause for this SW warm up. 

Yeah but since Alaska is cold it's okay if the west is shattering all time highs by 8-10 degrees for multiple days. 

Also UHI or something is the cause because that definitely affects daytime highs 

[dendrite]

It’s not UHI

[dendrite]

And AK has been cold, but the really extreme departures have been radiational cooling. Fairbanks hasn’t been threatening low max records.

[wxeyeNH]

27.2F  light snow grains, sleet.  Precip has been going back and forth.  Some heavier sleet showers 30 minutes ago.  At the moment light snow but my vis to the south is over 8 miles so I'm right on the line it seems

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

It's hitting Flagstaff the hardest. Their previous highest temp ever recorded in March was 73. They are in the 80s for it looks like 4 days. No UHI cause for this SW warm up. 

There's scrutinizing data and findings, then there's false-equivalency in the application of information - most that are exposed/have access, do not know what to really do with that information.   

We live in an era now where commoners with limited or no academic exposure to the course work are being drowned in a tsunamis of information.   Yet...without much or no academic/juried processing, there isn't much actual intelligence (how to reason with it) in how to use it.. 

Information alone does not make wisdom.  Reality lurks in the latter.  

And it sure as shit does not make one righteous.  Some percentage of those using the UHI argument are deniers that look like unbearable ignoramuses whenever they attempt to ply the argument.  Some percentage just heard the argument at some point along the way and now sound byte it back at us.     Neither of which realizes that CC is based upon a planetary integral that predates the construction of these urban engineering meccas.   While no agency of adjudicated climate research either fails understanding, nor disputes that concrete and metal tends to augment temperature... that stuff is accounted for. 

There is no debate.  

[dendrite]

24 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

27.2F  light snow grains, sleet.  Precip has been going back and forth.  Some heavier sleet showers 30 minutes ago.  At the moment light snow but my vis to the south is over 8 miles so I'm right on the line it seems

It’s been pulsing here too. Just had a burst of heavier snow, but it’s been mostly lighter refrozen mangled flake garbage. There’s no legit sleet yet though. CC on the various radars has the full melting layer near CON.

[wxeyeNH]

27.5F  Light to moderate snow.  Good snow growth.  Most of the precip in the last hour has been a mix of sleet and with some snow.  It has switched now to all snow.  Vis about 3/4"