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March Madness


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I don't get into the winter grading thing ... much, but, it seems to me it's all just about an arithmetic between individualized preferences, minus experiences.  

Which due to the former, cannot be universal... thus, making grading utterly useless. It cannot be standardized for the simple reason that no two "snow flakes'" preferences are exactly the same. In fact, vary too much to depend on any scale to fairly label the thing. 

 

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Now's a good time for the GFS' projection to wind up a hornet sting through an isothermal sounding.

Oh, It probably will come in with a blue bomb event later in the month, Not even safe in April no less.

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16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't get into the winter grading thing ... much, but, it seems to me it's all just about an arithmetic between individualized preferences, minus experiences.  

Which due to the former, cannot be universal... thus, making grading utterly useless. It cannot be standardized for the simple reason that no two "snow flakes'" preferences are exactly the same. In fact, vary too much to depend on any scale to fairly label the thing. 

 

It's really just a way to share an individual's winter experience and how they perceived the season, which isn't useless to those willing to share...I mean, it's almost akin to grading a paper in school....it's not necessarily right or wrong, but more about sharing a perspective in a cogent manner.

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6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's really just a way to share an individual's winter experience and how they perceived the season, which isn't useless to those willing to share...I mean, it's almost akin to grading a paper in school....it's not necessarily right or wrong, but more about sharing a perspective in a cogent manner.

I guess "impractical" would have been a better word choice.  heh.

I don't have any grievances with people willing to share - although some in here do tend to lean of those that don't share in theirs. 

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23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't get into the winter grading thing ... much, but, it seems to me it's all just about an arithmetic between individualized preferences, minus experiences.  

Which due to the former, cannot be universal... thus, making grading utterly useless. It cannot be standardized for the simple reason that no two "snow flakes'" preferences are exactly the same. In fact, vary too much to depend on any scale to fairly label the thing. 

 

It’s subjective but it’s all in fun. This isn’t supposed to be some sort of metric like used by NWS but most people all have the same underlying principles with some variety. Some weigh in snowpack retention, some with how long the season actually lasts (for instance Nov-Mar), and some like myself perhaps weigh in the snowfalls along with retention. 
 

With two large events it’s hard to argue against a very good grade for me. This area is any exactly retention central, but this year was excellent for that so I would factor that in. However December left a little to be desired given how good the pattern was for cold, and if March is a dud that doesn’t exactly bolster the grade either. 

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

I guess "impractical" would have been a better word choice.  heh.

I don't have a grievances with people willing to share - though some in here do tend to lean of those that don't share in theirs -

Yea, obviously a high degree of subjectivity....different strokes for different folks. This was probably an "A" for guys live Ginxy and Kev, who just want to see snow on the ground all season...I need greater numbers and depth.

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Snow is gone. Only the shady man made piles remain. Torch never really torches here, but it's beautiful out and walkable without a jacket.

It's definitely the case that it's a completely subjective thing, but this winter gets an A+ from me. More than a month of continuous crosscountry skiing around here is nuts. My primary exercise for the month of February.

And an all timer storm.

I needed it too. My dad passed away. My team is shyte. It all blows away for a moment if you pile drifts up to the windows.

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I'm not really seeing a whole lot to be excited about in terms of winter storm threats or potential for the second half of the month. This doesn't apply to northern New England or elevations though...they will always find a way to sneak in some accumulating snow well into April.

But when it comes to the GFS at least, I'd be very skeptical about it being way too aggressive with the EC troughing and colder look. Yes, that look or "tenor" has been a theme during the winter but we're moving into a new regime now with the hemisphere and wavelengths transitioning to the warmer season and this is when the GFS bias for extended range trough/cold may be overestimated. Yes other guidance hints at this but not to the degree of the GFS and something more along the lines of transient. 

Still plenty of cold to our north which keeps us in the game but nothing to me looks overly excited...especially since antecedent airmasses are going to suck. 

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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Having this degree of warmth over deep snow pack kind of reminds me of when I went to visit MT. Raineer a couple of times during the summer out west....

It's funny you say this.   I was just thinking that this would be a fantastic "spring skiing" pattern.  I don't ski - which is a shame, because I was good at it the few times I did go when I was teenager.   anyway, I recall out in I think Aspen, seeing tee-shirters on snow boards with sun tan lotion on their noses sticking out under dark goggles.  

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7 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Friday is pretty cool to monitor in the sense that it is the persistence scenario but with the jet a few hundred miles further north due to the seasonal tide, it’s not even close to a wintry event for most. 

Flow is still speed oriented.   I mean, we clear the deck of that cold from late Thursday, and Friday evening there's already a burst of WAA snow across NNE ...possibly as far S as CNE if you believe the GFS.  The CMC has the clipper too - neither is ultimately impressive ... so to stable reactions.  But just in principle,  we can hardly put our coffee cups down and everything's rollin' out

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