Interstate Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, GreyHat said: You don't know me and I don't care to know you. I think someone needs a timeout 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, DDweatherman said: I stuck up for you getting a hard time from people a few weeks ago, but this morning you’re bringing the heat upon yourself… Thanks, but I didn't start with the negative comments on anyone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, GreyHat said: Snow fall maps are waste, with temps, rain, wet ground. You need to keep expectations down. @mitchnick nws has the right idea 1-3" if your lucky on grass areas. Higher elevation may see more. The rain will be a welcoming sight for water tables. I like snow like everyone else and wouldn't mind a government delay opening. I seriously think this guy hates snow he's always a downer . Every model could be showing a blizzard and he's gonna say" well because the butterfly's in China are flying upside down it's probably gonna rain but that's ok everyone's water tables will be good " 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ifindppl Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 So, what about the weather? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, GreyHat said: Snow fall maps are waste, with temps, rain, wet ground. You need to keep expectations down. @mitchnick nws has the right idea 1-3" if your lucky on grass areas. Higher elevation may see more. The rain will be a welcoming sight for water tables. I like snow like everyone else and wouldn't mind a government delay opening. Wet ground matters because it increases conducivity. But then that becomes a factor of ground temperature which is still quite cold because of the snowpack. It's not nearly as much of a factor as it normally is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Interstate said: I think someone needs a timeout Nice to see a picture of you. How this went from talking about the weather. To negative comments on someone who didn't say anything negative to anyone. If you all stop I go away again. May only ask a question here and there. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 The NAM at H5@15 is more robust out west 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 It’s NAM time. Let’s see if it can push west a little more from 6z. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Can a brotha buy a NAM'ing please. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, LordBaltimore said: Wet ground matters because it increases conducivity. But then that becomes a factor of ground temperature which is still quite cold because of the snowpack. It's not nearly as much of a factor as it normally is Thank you for the additional info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, osfan24 said: It’s NAM time. Let’s see if it can push west a little more from 6z. 6z was a good move, need to keep the beat going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6Z SV AI-Weathernext 10:1 mean (see below) as well as the 0Z and 18Z have been consistent on going with ~5” for DC: perhaps that would imply ~4” Kuchera, which seems to be a reasonable possibility at this stage (significant event if it verifies) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, DDweatherman said: 6z was a good move, need to keep the beat going. Amen brother!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, DDweatherman said: 6z was a good move, need to keep the beat going. Looks better to me on the H5@18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Okay that’s enough yall. The back and forth with GH is stupid. Ignore and move along 7 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS was on an island and now it’s not alone but it got joined by the NAM and srefs best use of this gif in history of the interwebs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, LP08 said: Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation. I think this is broadly right but I think after dark it won’t be quite that bad…but yes on the general winners and losers gist 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Shortwave over the midwest look better consolidated at 33, I would think that's better, but I am not very intelligent so I may be very wrong. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 23 minutes ago, GreyHat said: You don't know me and I don't care to know you. I am inconsolable. Thanks for ruining my morning. 2 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Sorry if it’s been posted but the SREF said folks this morning Went from this…. to this! 7 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 @GreyHat can’t even blame me this time I laid off ya. But when it’s everyone else maybe it’s just you! 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 At 42. Trough not quite as sharp as 6z. Coastal might climb a bit before capture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 18 minutes ago, LP08 said: Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation. This has been my thought all along, which is why I haven't even looked at this thread till right now. We need the phase, the block, the trough to go negative, blah blah - even then temps are going to be close. I'm not being a "downer" but statistically the odds of everything coming to fruition are almost zero, and we literally need every element for this to be snow - otherwise it's (beneficial) rain, and / or wet snow melting on contact. I'm trying to stay grounded here; I've been blown up on social media for the last 24hr about a 3' monster snowstorm because of what the GFS showed lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, LP08 said: At 42. Trough not quite as sharp as 6z. Coastal might climb a bit before capture? Yeah heights higher out front but broader trough. Not sure how it will respond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @GreyHat can’t even blame me this time I laid off ya. But when it’s everyone else maybe it’s just you! Not blaming you, you didn't start with negative comments. Maybe everyone would be better off following Mappy advice. mappy Posted 4 minutes ago Okay that’s enough yall. The back and forth with GH is stupid. Ignore and move along 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Storms 2 days away.. I wonder how long LWX waits to issue watches. I'm thinking maybe after the 12z model runs runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM does have snow here at 54 but not sure if the storm ends up coming together 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: NAM does have snow here at 54 but not sure if the storm ends up coming together Good chance with this, but anything is possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Storms 2 days away.. I wonder how long LWX waits to issue watches. I'm thinking maybe after the 12z model runs runs They think we only get 1-2”. But the uncertainty is there. I’d issue a CYA watch and downgrade to Advisory if necessary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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