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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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1 minute ago, jdj5211 said:

I think the craziest part about this is that this could actually get even better because there’s room to come further NW with the track.

This is where the NAM gets into its wheelhouse so it has to be taken seriously.

It will go about 100miles more NW

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Just now, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z NAm Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24

 

qpf_048h-imp.us_ma.png

 

SNOW 10:1  

 


sn10_acc-imp.us_ma.png

And ratios will definitely help NW of where the max QPF ends up, and banding will probably get into all of our subforum so we all have an equal chance at this point IMO at jackpot type amounts (20"+ maybe 25"). Wow wow wow. It sucked to miss 2/1 but this makes up for it!

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Just now, jdj5211 said:

I think the craziest part about this is that this could actually get even better because there’s room to come further NW with the track.

This is where the NAM gets into its wheelhouse so it has to be taken seriously.

The southern stream and primary northern stream have already consolidated into a closed, negatively tilted mid-level low offshore. The Alberta clipper energy upstream is elongated and lagging, feeding into the broader trough rather than diving into the base at peak intensification as a third discrete impulse.

In other words, the phase has already happened and the system is maturing, not undergoing a fresh three-way interaction.

If that upstream energy were carving sharply southeast and visibly tightening the core at this frame, we’d be having a different conversation. But here, the structure is consolidated and occluding.

This is a powerful double phase with backside reinforcement, not a clean triple crash.

If we could get that Alberta clipper to come in... we might get Moses to start building an ark with skies!

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4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

And ratios will definitely help NW of where the max QPF ends up, and banding will probably get into all of our subforum so we all have an equal chance at this point IMO at jackpot type amounts (20"+ maybe 25"). Wow wow wow. It sucked to miss 2/1 but this makes up for it!

Can you imagine if we hadn't missed 2/1 and then this was coming.  Would have been a trifecta!

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10 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z NAm Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24

 

qpf_048h-imp.us_ma.png

 

SNOW 10:1  

 


sn10_acc-imp.us_ma.png

Thanks for waiting until runs finish to post totals. Otherwise people start getting confused. Also could you imagine 40” in deleware lol. Imagine that cleanup 

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The southern stream and primary northern stream have already consolidated into a closed, negatively tilted mid-level low offshore. The Alberta clipper energy upstream is elongated and lagging, feeding into the broader trough rather than diving into the base at peak intensification as a third discrete impulse.
In other words, the phase has already happened and the system is maturing, not undergoing a fresh three-way interaction.
If that upstream energy were carving sharply southeast and visibly tightening the core at this frame, we’d be having a different conversation. But here, the structure is consolidated and occluding.
This is a powerful double phase with backside reinforcement, not a clean triple crash.

If we could get that Alberta clipper to come in... we might get Moses to start building an ark with skies!

Whatever this means….does it mean that it can come further NW?


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11 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I'll definitely take this but I think the last run had 2 feet into NYC or maybe I'm mixing it up with the gfs

This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?

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This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?

At 10-1 it went from 23.1 to 22.8 in nyc and the heaviest shifted closer to the city. Kuchera have some friendly ratios at 18z and that map was prob what he saw.


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  • Rjay changed the title to The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

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