The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[coastalplainsnowman]

4 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

people say you should not wait til the storm ends to clean....but you can't operate a snow blower in most towns before 8 am....

On the bright side, who is going to do anything about it.  And if you do the neighbor's sidewalk they'll never rat you out.

[psv88]

Euro finally on board eh. About time 

[dWave]

15 minutes ago, Breene said:

No matter what the outcome I can't remember a storm lurking on these boards that had such a short anticipation time and no "oh here we go" bad runs/trends rollercoaster.  its just been.. out of no where Bomb and then a chorus of models crescendoing (is that a word?) every run . stress free

That's how these grocery stores must feel. People suddenly woke up to a blizzard warning this morning and pandemonium ensued, with little to no preparation for it.

[nycwinter]

tomorrow will be crazy at the supermarkets early  before the snow really picks up in intensity..

[BxEngine]

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

people say you should not wait til the storm ends to clean....but you can't operate a snow blower in most towns before 8 am....

Some places have exceptions for clearing of snow. Besides, the plows crushing my neighbors mailbox for the 4th time this winter is definitely louder than my snowblower.

[nycsnow]

5 minutes ago, TriPol said:

It'll be too late by then. 

Ya I was being sarcastic haha 

[EastonSN+]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 GFS AI AIGFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

Snow 10:1

 

Ticked east with the precip totals again. EURO will likely trend west to come.close to matching.

[weatherpruf]

5 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Screw that I'll run my commercial 2009 ariens track drive monster at midnight full bore if I have to lol

i have the kind of neighbors who call animal control if you let your dog out too long. 

[wthrmn654]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

i have the kind of neighbors who call animal control if you let your dog out too long. 

You must be from jersey then lol.....

 

[EastonSN+]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z UKMET

Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24

 

Snow 1:1

Unmet has that same snow max over new Jersey and a dip in the amounts over central CT. Dry air coming down the CT river valley. 

[SACRUS]

4 hours ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z Summary

 

Total QPF NYC 
/
Snow 10:1 NYC


SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9
RGEM: 1.1 / 11
GFS: 1.7 / 17.1
GFS AI AIGFS:  1.3 / 12.7
UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2
GEFS Mean : 1.8 / 18.2
Euro: 1.3 / 11.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.2 / 11.4

SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9
RGEM: 1.1 / 11
GFS: 1.7 / 17.1
GFS AI AIGFS:  1.3 / 12.7
UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2
GEFS Mean : 1.8 / 18.2
Euro: 1.3 / 11.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.2 / 11.4

 

Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.68 inches

Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 16.2 inches

[weatherpruf]

6 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Just got one at Lowes 10 mins ago

i'm glad. spread the word...and you can probably sell it for more than you paid for it...back in 94 it got so bad a guy had his shovel taken at gunpoint....

[IrishRob17]

2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

i have the kind of neighbors who call animal control if you let your dog out too long. 

Think you’ll do hard time?

[EastonSN+]

48 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

mirrors 1978 blizzard

Somewhat however the blizzard of 78 almost touched LI. With will be farther south.

[MJO812]

Nice to see the euro finally waking up.  A foot of snow on this run for the coast. 

[weatherpruf]

5 minutes ago, dWave said:

That's how these grocery stores must feel. People suddenly woke up to a blizzard warning this morning and pandemonium ensued, with little to no preparation for it.

wife had to take the pups for rabies shots...there's a shop rite in the lot...holy hell....

[sussexcountyobs]

4 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Some places have exceptions for clearing of snow. Besides, the plows crushing my neighbors mailbox for the 4th time this winter is definitely louder than my snowblower.

Why you even pay any attention to such a ridiculous ordinance in a blizzard?? 

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said:

Think you’ll do hard time?

they couldn't prove it.....no time stamp

[Freezing Drizzle]

1 hour ago, Blizzardo said:

my point and click!!!! holy....

 

Sunday

Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 3pm. High near 37. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday Night

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 31. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible.

Monday

Snow, mainly before 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow between 9am and noon. High near 35. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

16 to 28 inches, in Sayreville....crikey.

[ILoveWinter]

6 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9
RGEM: 1.1 / 11
GFS: 1.7 / 17.1
GFS AI AIGFS:  1.3 / 12.7
UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2
GEFS Mean : 1.8 / 18.2
Euro: 1.3 / 11.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.2 / 11.4

 

Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.68 inches

Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 16.2 inches

Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. 

[EastonSN+]

16 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Euro getting better, it’ll have the right idea tomorrow at 18z

It has more snow now than the AI version.

 

[Jt17]

Ticked east with the precip totals again. EURO will likely trend west to come.close to matching.

GEFS actually trended west. The gfs suite including AI have stayed in about a 20 mile band all day. Let's not get carried away.


.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said:

Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. 

12 to 24.

The NAM and the RGEM, 2 short-range models, are the "outliers" at the moment.

[WeatherGeek2025]

https://x.com/cryptogeek101/status/2025355930049597947?s=46

poll on central park accumulations

[Allsnow]

Really not much more to say, we are in for a top 10 storm. 
 

Hard to believe the blizzard warning currently as it was close to 50 today 

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. 

Nam will calm down tonight or show 4 feet. Either is on the table

[Allsnow]

This was a 2010 Boxing Day type victory for the GFS

[Freezing Drizzle]

16 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

i'm glad. spread the word...and you can probably sell it for more than you paid for it...back in 94 it got so bad a guy had his shovel taken at gunpoint....

Now, that's NJ....

[EastonSN+]

5 minutes ago, Jt17 said:

GEFS actually trended west. The gfs suite including AI have stayed in about a 20 mile band all day. Let's not get carried away.


.

How am I getting carried away? 

[Jt17]

12 to 24.
The NAM and the RGEM, 2 short-range models, are the "outliers" at the moment.

Gfs is so deceiving. Look at the snow map. It's just if not MORE robust than previous runs. NYC is at 17 and 10 miles south is at 27. The northern and western extents of heavy snow are the same. That run really is just like before and in the NAM camp.


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