SACRUS Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: HRRR has snow until tomorrow afternoon. Very impressive run. Overnight is going to be insane A little bit beyond its range but 3PM monday still snowing into much of the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 15 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: Power outages on the rise. Nothing is being reported in Rockland yet. About 331 in Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 HRRR is a proper clobbering. This is going to be some storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I could weep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I don't know why some people are disappointed with this storm. Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: HRRR has snow until tomorrow afternoon. Very impressive run. Overnight is going to be insane northern middlesex and southern union are really on the fringe for the best stuff....hope we cash in. but its still a lot of snow if this is in any way accurate....would put us way above average. in keeping with snowy decembers.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Temp 26.8. Just measured 2.4”. Minimal wind so a clean measurement. 79350239299__4E593EBD-A70F-4C2B-AB50-3694FD8A8971.MOV 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 3 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Snow piling up fast here, eyeballing looks like 4-5" Guys, just measured 5 1/2 inches. Getting it good under these 25-30 dBZ echoes. 31 F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 45 minutes ago, RU848789 said: As of 7 pm, we have 4.0" of snow, so 1.5" last hour as it's been snowing close to heavily (not crazy heavy, but visibility maybe 3/8 of a mile. Temp still 31F. Just finished my first shoveling and it wasn't too bad - bottom snow layer was wet but snow falling now is somewhat drier, but still packs. As of 8 pm, 5.25" in Metuchen and it's still 31F; snowing close to heavily but radar is showing a couple of SW to NE oriented bands moving NW towards us, which look really heavy, like maybe 2" per hour heavy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I think you guys up north (NYC, and points East,) may do much better than those of us along coastal Ocean County, NJ. We need temps to drop soon in order to achieve the currently projected totals. This is not a post designed to troll or downplay the storm. Im fully aware of the dynamics involved, and what may lay ahead for those of us down here, but I'm using quite a few decades of life on the water here to make my call. As soon as rates fall, im watching our slush compress and melt away into a saturated and fairly warm surface, losing half of what we gain with each higher-rate band. Could absolutely see points North of Point Pleasant doing better, but I believe we will struggle to pull off more than 8-12 down here in Forked River and Waretown. Not screaming, "bust," but preparing others for what looks fairly likely at this point. I am in no way tossing NWS forecasts, but using real-time observations to predict that more southern coastal areas may see a walk-back in total accumulation. The system is still incredibly enjoyable to track and experience, and I would love to eat crow. To those in the jackpot zones, soak it up! ...and post some pictures. Cheers. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, TriPol said: I don't know why some people are disappointed with this storm. Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen. Who could possibly be disappointed unless you're far north and west. Most of us are going to get 18"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 6 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: Yep, got that too. The loud alert scared the bejeezus of me why was this mandatory? You know a class B misdemeanor if you violate it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 This is insane. Pouring snow! I want to troll a few posters so badly but not worth it. Peace and love. Peace and love! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 2/23 00z HRRR 8Pm start Snow from 8pm - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Down down to 73 and windy now in Miami. Changeover soon 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaysoner Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 What's going on with the subsidence over N NJ? Is it expected to continue/keep growing or dissipate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 now to the 01:23Z radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 7 minutes ago, nflwxman said: Let's do a quick model performance review of the 12Z clown maps snowfall thus. I can't speak for everyone, but all models were busting low relative to what we have here in Brick, NJ. Demonstrates that even the mesoscales are struggling with the dynamics. 12Z HRRR 12Z RGEM 12Z NAM 3K 12Z 12K NAM Great post, here in Nassau were 100% outdoing what the 12z models were showing. I would say the closest is the Nam 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Nothing is being reported in Rockland yet. About 331 in Westchester. Ppl in saddle river lost power, been getting ring neighborhood alerts lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Just now, psv88 said: Down down to 73 and windy now in Miami. Changeover soon too rough to fish...used to go out of haulover park back in the 80s....never knew what you might reel up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Looks like the sharp cutoff will be near the Warren County line in NJ. Near Clinton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Huge band off the water about to come into southern sections of NYC. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Down down to 73 and windy now in Miami. Changeover soon Stay safe! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Just now, jaysoner said: What's going on with the subsidence over N NJ? Is it expected to continue/keep growing or dissipate? The bands are incoming slowly. We are getting wrecked up here in the bx in a band within a band but when that li weenie band lifts in to nyc you'll get it too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said: Stay safe! It’s killing me to be here. All the New Yorkers at this conference looking at their nest cams. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: Down down to 73 and windy now in Miami. Changeover soon changeover from kokomo to margaritaville impending 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 minutes ago, jaysoner said: What's going on with the subsidence over N NJ? Is it expected to continue/keep growing or dissipate? Luck of the draw but I'm in JC and its still dumping here so IDK how bad that subsidence zone really is. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Subjectively speaking, these are much more well formed dendrites than during the January storm. It is occasionally windy; one gust was enough to blow snow from the ground (not just from the trees and roofs). Still 30/29 S+ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 5 minutes ago, jaysoner said: What's going on with the subsidence over N NJ? Is it expected to continue/keep growing or dissipate? It happens. I'm in the subsidence zone right now. Funny thing is that the HRRR has quite a lull next couple hours before it really ramps things up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EW9616 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4-4.5” here in Syosset area. Shoveled the walk way to have a little less to do tomorrow. Higher end amounts seem to be likely out here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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