The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[jaysoner]

15 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I think the jackpots will be the Jersey shore, Long Island and New England as shown on the RGEM. I also think the NWS amounts are going to bust much too high. The NAM is on crack and it’s skewing the NBM which NWS loves to use. Not criticizing them just think they are going too much NAM and that’s a very huge mistake. I believe the RGEM is going to nail this

Gonna need more reasoning to dispel the consistency with the majority of all the other models, meso and global. Not saying it's impossible, it just seems unlikely at this point, and an outlier solution.

[EasternLI]

I still have snow on the ground around here. With a blizzard on the doorstep. I can count on one hand the number of times I've seen that happen.

[Snowman92]

3 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

I still have snow on the ground around here. With a blizzard on the doorstep. I can count on one hand the number of times I've seen that happen.

Same here friend. Still have at least 6 inches on the ground and grass with bigger piles next to driveways and unused areas. This is going to be a back-breaking experience

[nycwinter]

30 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I think the jackpots will be the Jersey shore, Long Island and New England as shown on the RGEM. I also think the NWS amounts are going to bust much too high. The NAM is on crack and it’s skewing the NBM which NWS loves to use. Not criticizing them just think they are going too much NAM and that’s a very huge mistake. I believe the RGEM is going to nail this

that is what something like dtwxrisk would say i see you two think alike .

[gravitylover]

I guess this is the OBS thread too? It's been flurrying here for a bit with a stiff SE breeze picking up @ 31°. 

[nycsnow]

HRDPS better than its cousin RGEM and tended better since 00z

[Snowlover11]

3 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I guess this is the OBS thread too? It's been flurrying here for a bit with a stiff SE breeze picking up @ 31°. 

I believe so, should add obs at the title

[dmillz25]

I could sense the sarcasm from snowman lol

[nycwinter]

Just now, dmillz25 said:

I could sense the sarcasm from snowman lol

i truly believe he is not sarcastic but actually believes what he says which is scary.

[EasternLI]

Somebody should start an obs thread for this one.

[dmillz25]

1 minute ago, nycwinter said:

i truly believe he is not sarcastic but actually believes what he says which is scary.

If he isn’t sarcastic about this then yes thats a problem for him

[sussexcountyobs]

Light snow already falling. 31.5F

[SnoSki14]

43 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Snowman makes an appearance only to put his cards on one of the least snowy models? Not much of a surprise there. 

Well if you keep going with the warmest winter and the least snowiest solution every time you'll eventually end up right. 

[Snowlover11]

Holy shit upton bumped up the blizz warning for westchester 16-24”

[Volcanic Winter]

People can have their opinions, we don’t need to attack them for not saying what we want them too. Frankly it’s what I dislike about some of the other boards here.

What is going to happen is irrelevant to what anyone on here says or thinks, so allow people the courtesy of their own take. I don’t know why that always ends up threatening to some - IE not hearing what you want to hear leads to mocking, which reads defensive. 

[WIN]

Snowing lightly since about 530am or so.

[weatherpruf]

6 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

People can have their opinions, we don’t need to attack them for not saying what we want them too. Frankly it’s what I dislike about some of the other boards here.

What is going to happen is irrelevant to what anyone on here says or thinks, so allow people the courtesy of their own take. I don’t know why that always ends up threatening to some - IE not hearing what you want to hear leads to mocking, which reads defensive. 

Because some folks just like to be contrarian. Been guilty myself . But at a time like this, given the gravity of the situation, it might be best for some of them to step away.

[Snowlover11]

Flurries in Yonkers.

[qg_omega]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

OKX is now forecasting a top 10 all timer for NYC. This 20" amount would be tied with Boxing Day at #7. 

It’s very rare for the NWS to be forecasting much more snow than the model consensus.  We will see how this shakes out but this looks across the board high by 6 inches plus.  My weather underground app has me at 14 inches and they usually are always high while the NWS warning has me at 16 to 24 inches.  I’m expecting around a foot.  

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Because some folks just like to be contrarian. Been guilty myself . But at a time like this, given the gravity of the situation, it might be best for some of them to step away.

Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area 

 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through 
Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to
impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely.

[EasternLI]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area 

 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through 
Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to
impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely.

Fire up an obs thread. It's going to be epic

[qg_omega]

39 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

Holy shit upton bumped up the blizz warning for westchester 16-24”

Crazy to see when the non US models have a 8 to 14 inch storm, someone is going to have an epic bust come tomorrow afternoon

[CentralNJSnowman]

16 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

Holy shit upton bumped up the blizz warning for westchester 16-24”

Mount holly upped my area to 18-25”

[Mail Man]

This crazy shit man. Very excited for this.

[Astoriaweather]

Drizzle has started in Astoria Queens

[RKO36]

It has begun.  Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain.

[Allsnow]

5 hours ago, Rjay said:

He's getting possibly the blizzard of the decade for our sub named after him just as Randy did in 2016. 

Lots of respect for you and @BxEngine! You both make it hard to stay away for long. 
 

I have been on the sidelines for way too long. I’m fine with or without a obs thread

[WeatherFox]

3 minutes ago, RKO36 said:

It has begun.  Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain.

Bulk from 7pm tonight to 7am tomorrow 

[Stormlover74]

Models picking up on the insane western cutoff ala boxing day. 

[Neblizzard]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Lots of respect for you and @BxEngine! You both make it hard to stay away for long. 
 

I have been on the sidelines for way too long. I’m fine with or without a obs thread

You’re a good dude with lots of knowledge . Remember we met at the Kocin conference with you and Mike?