The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, Nibor said:

You’re normally spot on but that looks worse than 12z, just saying. Broader and not closed.

[Stormlover74]

We really need this to turn into a drier snow or power outages are going to become a problem 

[WXNewton]

25 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

people are in denial; it will miss us, still a chance this will be nothing; its only at the shore, its only boston yada yada. people do not want to believe it; years of busts remembered but no one remembers 5 years ago or ten years ago......i can't believe the things i'm hearing from people, likewise i can't wrap my head around what i'm seeing here; this isn't just some snow, this is serious damn business. 

It is frustrating to dedicate hours and hours into model runs each day leading up to the storm and realizing what is about to take place and then some random person who watched the 6 o'clock news yesterday argues with you on whether it's going to be a storm or not. I am always fascinated at the average person's understanding of the weather or lack there of!

[Nibor]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

You’re normally spot on but that looks worse than 12z, just saying. Broader and not closed.

It's further along in the evolution

[weatherpruf]

6 minutes ago, NsWx516 said:

I was here lurking at the time. I went out and bought two generators and enough gas to ride out the storm comfortably. I remember reading on here then seeing that there was going to be a full moon and thought….holy sh*t…..

and it snowed a week later.....

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

You’re normally spot on but that looks worse than 12z, just saying. Broader and not closed.

Amounts increased and it came further west

[KeithB]

49 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Thank you!  
 

really trying to figure out if it’s worth staying up all night or not. 
Even though my days of loving snow are in the past, this seems like a potentially special, once in a generation type storm. 
worth losing a little sleep over it

We will be pulling an all nighter sir. We only live once. Get a great night sleep tonight to prepare.

[NsWx516]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

and it snowed a week later.....

Yeah that was wild, i’ll never forget that

[Nibor]

[SACRUS]

 

2/1 18z ICON

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

Snow 10:1

[weatherpruf]

2 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

It is frustrating to pour hours and hours into model runs each day leading up to the storm and realizing what is about to take place and then some random person who watched the 6 o'clock news yesterday argues with you on whether it's going to be a storm or not. I am always fascinated at the average person's understanding of the weather or lack there of!

it ain't just the weather, hombre...

[495weatherguy]

1 minute ago, KeithB said:

We will be pulling an all nighter sir. We only live once. Get a great night sleep tonight to prepare.

I tend to agree. My objective however will be to try and keep the driveway clear

[North and West]

I stand corrected, 33 miles from my parents house in brooklyn. Im 17 miles from manhattan. At the northern edge of fair lawn

.

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z Summary

 

Total QPF NYC 
/
Snow 10:1 NYC


SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9

Updated with ICON

[WXNewton]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

it ain't just the weather, hombre...

For real, it makes you really question how most of these folks live like sheep believing everything, but the real data and the facts.

[Brian5671]

ICON west but amts about the same for the rest of the area

[Stormlover74]

Rgem jackpots 95 and eastern LI

[SACRUS]

2/21 18z RGEM 

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

V

Snow 10:1

[Snowman92]

14 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Can someone enlighten me quickly on what the darker orange spots are here ? Its stronger bands correct ?

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z Summary

 

Total QPF NYC 
/
Snow 10:1 NYC


SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9
RGEM: 1.1 / 11

 

Updated with RGEM

 

[kat5hurricane]

15 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Because its more in line with majority of models not the 2-3 ft gfs and nam

The 3k nam is still 2 feet in some places

[weathermedic]

Aircraft recon scheduled for today for ingestion into the 00Z model suite

[NJwx85]

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem jackpots 95 and eastern LI

For whatever reason the RGEM has been stubborn with this storm. I think it’s suffering from convective feedback.

[Nibor]

[Snowman92]

8 minutes ago, North and West said:

.

Looks like our exact area is where the deathband in Northeastish NJ sets up

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z RGEM 

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

V

Snow 10:1

RGEM is being stubborn 

[NJwx85]

2 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Can someone enlighten me quickly on what the darker orange spots are here ? Its stronger bands correct ?

You’re looking at the jet stream and pieces of energy traveling a long it in the mid levels of the atmosphere.

[kat5hurricane]

2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

For whatever reason the RGEM has been stubborn with this storm. I think it’s suffering from convective feedback.

The RGEM is usually too dry in these big storm scenarios, same with most of the globals. They don't generally pick up on the dynamics and banding as well as the short range, hi-res models. 

[Metasequoia]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

just soak it in

What is that second piece of energy over the Mississippi River doing?

[Prue11]