The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[Wxbear25]

Euro is 75 miles west of its AI brother and 100 miles west of the other guidance. On its own. I'd be more worried if it was the AI on its own.


.

East?

[Jt17]

East?

Yes what I meant. Sorry lol


.

[winterwarlock]

The Euro is why forecasters are hedging

 

That a huge difference from gfs

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, T5403CG said:

I was thinking 12/2009... but it's just not big enough when compared to what this looks to be...

Now I'm onto 78 or 96... 78 wins given the wind... there were drifts ten feet high on Long Island for that one...

The 78 storm did run closer to the coast... introduced some freezing rain... but rarely do you get a monster storm without some mix, no matter how brief, on Long Island... wound up with two feet and 10 foot drifts...

This looks to be shaping into a monster as well... hope when all is said and done it joins 78 and 96 as another classic...

Good luck all...



Sent from my motorola edge 2024 using Tapatalk
 

No rain or freezing rain during the February 1978 blizzard (except possibly right near Montauk for a bit, but I'm not sure).  You might be thinking of the big January near blizzard that year which ended as a mix.

Temperatures prior to the Feb 6 storm were very cold (near 0 on LI the morning of the 5th) and well below freezing except for a couple of hours late on the 6th from ISP south and east as they got involved with a coastal front and the temp rose to around freezing.

We had snow up to my keester but my most vivid memory is the wind; it was insane.

[TriPol]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

The Euro is why forecasters are hedging

 

That a huge difference from gfs

The EURO is not what it was 6 years ago.

[Rjay]

Eps

 

[Rjay]

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

That storm on the Long Beach boardwalk was the best winter storm experience I’ve ever had. Wind with intensity even though the heaviest was over NJ. Thunder snow on 12/30/00 second best. My mom passed away recently so I can’t stay at her house for this but my place is fine. 

Very sorry JM.

[Rjay]

Expect 3-36"

Glad we narrowed things down tn

[NJHurricane]

49 minutes ago, Mail Man said:

Euro AI never really liked this storm. It's east.

Never really liked it or didn’t like it as much as the GFS?

[Snowlover11]

Eps. Call bullshit on the east movement

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Thank you. You have no idea how crazy she thought I was walking to the boardwalk or wherever during any big snowstorm lol. 

Some of us might.   My mom had a few standard admonitions.

 

[Rjay]

[LVblizzard]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Not as disgustingly bad as the OP run. But still. Not what you want to see.

[MJO812]

17 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

The Euro is why forecasters are hedging

 

That a huge difference from gfs

Euro has been terrible this winter.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, LVblizzard said:

Not as disgustingly bad as the OP run. But still. Not what you want to see.

I mean its a huge outlier

[njwx7]

I don't envy the position of the NWS. Very interested to see what they do. Euro is clearly an eastern outlier but I don't seem them throwing out the euro suite in the same way that they would if it was the GFS depicting this solution.

[KeithB]

48 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

I guess everyone is butt hurt now that the euro didn’t show the solution they want

Damn right we are. Ugh....now I'm not going to sleep well

[KeithB]

45 minutes ago, David-LI said:

lol not really are you? I actually want spring. My kids are bored out of their minds so am I. I want spring.

But if we get a big snowstorm that would be amazing too. Edit: A big snowstorm is cool, but spring is better.  I would rather prefer that

Snowstorms are better then spring. Spring is nice....but let's not get crazy

[ForestHillWx]

17 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Still a significant west lean with some deep members; steady as she goes at this point. 

[KeithB]

22 minutes ago, TriPol said:

The EURO is not what it was 6 years ago.

True...and same thing with Europe too

[richm20]

It's currently snowing in Port Washington...WTF???

[TriPol]

Who's still up?

[sussexcountyobs]

5 minutes ago, richm20 said:

It's currently snowing in Port Washington...WTF???

Same here in Vernon, NJ 

[kat5hurricane]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Hour 18 

 

hgts a hair higher

confluence moving out a hair quicker 

Sorry, I'm late to this but I just saw this and it brought back some great memories seeing you and some of the older posters doing play by play. It's really nice to see you back.

[gravitylover]

Yep, flurrying here too

[LVblizzard]

Let’s flip the script here…if all the models were showing a miss/graze and the Euro was the only one showing a snowstorm, which would you go with?

The rest of the models won when this scenario happened with Juno in 2015.

[Snowlover11]

7 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Who's still up?

Me but that’s because im at work lol

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Who's still up?

Me

[njwx7]

1 minute ago, LVblizzard said:

Let’s flip the script here…if all the models were showing a miss/graze and the Euro was the only one showing a snowstorm, which would you go with?

The rest of the models won when this scenario happened with Juno in 2015.

This is a valid point.

I think the problem is that we have been burnt so many times by betting against the euro. You would think that within 70 hours the euro would have a good handle on this. With that being said, euro has performed poorly lately. 

Regardless of final outcome, all models have performed poorly with this system. Euro has been atrocious with this, even if it ends up being correct in its current depiction.