Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I guess everyone is butt hurt now that the euro didn’t show the solution they want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro never liked this storm. The storm hasnt even happened yet. The euro might as well be right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Euro still a hit for Long Island, 10-12”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 00z EURO AI AIFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 10 minutes ago, Prue11 said: I guess everyone is butt hurt now that the euro didn’t show the solution they want lol not really are you? I actually want spring. My kids are bored out of their minds so am I. I want spring. But if we get a big snowstorm that would be amazing too. Edit: A big snowstorm is cool, but spring is better. I would rather prefer that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Someone posted that the EURO AI was "east". I just checked it right up against its placement on the 18Z run it's nearly identical. WX/PT 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 There's usually the tick back east at the end with these. Not sure if this is the "end" yet but no reason to freak with the model that had to play catch up with the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njwx7 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 here is the "horrible" Euro AI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 00z EURO Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Euro is 75 miles west of its AI brother and 100 miles west of the other guidance. On its own. I'd be more worried if it was the AI on its own. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, David-LI said: lol not really are you? I actually want spring. My kids are bored out of their minds so am I. I want spring. But if we get a big snowstorm that would be amazing too I would rather prefer that It’s still showing 10-12” for LI. But I’m with you, unless it’s a biggie over 12” I’m ready for spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Drop the extreme outliers on both ends (GFS and Euro) and we still have a great storm on the way with a floor of around a foot for the immediate metro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Do we have any real meteorologists here currently to give us their input ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I don't remember this ever happening inside 48 hours when every model trended better for an entire day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: I don't remember this ever happening inside 48 hours when every model trended better for an entire day I was honestly thinking about this today. Every model run trends worse. For at least the last 10 years. But not this one. I hope I didnt jinxed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I don't remember this ever happening inside 48 hours when every model trended better for an entire day I just saw the Euro. WOW, only 4 inches for our area. Yet the American models are close to 2 feet. Insane difference. I do think the Euro is way off with this solution, but it isn't a slam dunk yet that we're seeing a monster event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I think this is just a sign that the westerly trend is over and the models will correct back to around where the GFS is. Remember all models trended towards the GFS yesterday 80% models had nothing. We will see by tomorrow but I honestly still think the euro is the most overrated model there is, icon may be better at this point! We'll see but to me it just looks like the west trend is over and they'll just wobble back and forth between GFS and maybe Euro AI solution!This entire suite stood pat or even trended a little further west. Only Exception was euro OP. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Euro is 75 miles west of its AI brother and 100 miles west of the other guidance. On its own. I'd be more worried if it was the AI on its own. .East? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 East?Yes what I meant. Sorry lol . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The Euro is why forecasters are hedging That a huge difference from gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, T5403CG said: I was thinking 12/2009... but it's just not big enough when compared to what this looks to be... Now I'm onto 78 or 96... 78 wins given the wind... there were drifts ten feet high on Long Island for that one... The 78 storm did run closer to the coast... introduced some freezing rain... but rarely do you get a monster storm without some mix, no matter how brief, on Long Island... wound up with two feet and 10 foot drifts... This looks to be shaping into a monster as well... hope when all is said and done it joins 78 and 96 as another classic... Good luck all... Sent from my motorola edge 2024 using Tapatalk No rain or freezing rain during the February 1978 blizzard (except possibly right near Montauk for a bit, but I'm not sure). You might be thinking of the big January near blizzard that year which ended as a mix. Temperatures prior to the Feb 6 storm were very cold (near 0 on LI the morning of the 5th) and well below freezing except for a couple of hours late on the 6th from ISP south and east as they got involved with a coastal front and the temp rose to around freezing. We had snow up to my keester but my most vivid memory is the wind; it was insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, winterwarlock said: The Euro is why forecasters are hedging That a huge difference from gfs The EURO is not what it was 6 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 Eps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: That storm on the Long Beach boardwalk was the best winter storm experience I’ve ever had. Wind with intensity even though the heaviest was over NJ. Thunder snow on 12/30/00 second best. My mom passed away recently so I can’t stay at her house for this but my place is fine. Very sorry JM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 Expect 3-36" Glad we narrowed things down tn 7 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 49 minutes ago, Mail Man said: Euro AI never really liked this storm. It's east. Never really liked it or didn’t like it as much as the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Eps. Call bullshit on the east movement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Thank you. You have no idea how crazy she thought I was walking to the boardwalk or wherever during any big snowstorm lol. Some of us might. My mom had a few standard admonitions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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