NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just to jump on the wind potential again, no inversion so the stronger gusts should mix down well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, SACRUS said: yeah you would almost expect to the the GEM (GGEM and RGEM) so amped by model biases. Its almost as if in an otherwise typical scenario to be concerned of rain/miz - the gfs is to se/its coming nw. But not here. Even the AI GFS is further east than the OP with a slightly slower capture and negative tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Just to jump on the wind potential again, no inversion so the stronger gusts should mix down well perfect rack for nyc to be in heavy snowbanding with no dry slot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Lets see if the GEFS is even more tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 If only it started tomorrow afternoon. Another harrowing day of model runs before the whole picture comes together 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even the AI GFS is further east than the OP with a slightly slower capture and negative tilt. Ai EPS not looking good 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Just to jump on the wind potential again, no inversion so the stronger gusts should mix down well Normally I'd like to see the 850 low a little further west to nail interior NJ. The fact this is bombing as it goes by will help offset that somewhat eastward displacement. 850 low as shown is text book material for NJ coast, up across NE NJ, NYC and LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Lets see if the GEFS is even more tucked. It is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, qg_omega said: Ai EPS not looking good Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even the AI GFS is further east than the OP with a slightly slower capture and negative tilt. Barely Still has alot of snow. Gefs is coming west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, MJO812 said: Lol Is he serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 12 minutes ago, wxman said: And what's to say it's done trending. Each runs been adding like six inches area wide! Yes....the GFS tends to suppress these types of setups a bit...so it may even improve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Is he serious? it has a slightly slower phase and capture like bluewave says but who cares 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Ukie improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Is the 18z AI EURO even out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Gefs slightly west 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Wxbear25 said: Is the 18z AI EURO even out yet? 615 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 GEFS look really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, MJO812 said: 615 That’s what I thought, I saw reference to it not being good and did a double take, thanks Ant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: Easy now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 UKMET to 66 looked similar to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Having a 3 day ensemble mean have a 976 low is crazy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2/20 18z GEFS 24H Mean Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 20 minutes ago, TriPol said: The GFS just out-NAM'd the NAM! You've out-Neiled him! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 UK through 66H with some more to come (similar to 12z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: UKMET to 66 looked similar to 12z More snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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