WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: After the 12z suite it will probably be ok to bump totals. can we do a contest for snow totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Cmc further west but not fully 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Canadian moving towards the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: can we do a contest for snow totals? You're what's commonly referred to as a jinx. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 we just need euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 This is much better looking than 00z was on the Canadian. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, EasternLI said: This is much better looking than 00z was on the Canadian. That is a great look - I don't need to look at precip or snowmaps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 FWIW https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=jma®ion=eus&pkg=mslpaNorm&runtime=2026022012&fh=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 54 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: OmG just admit you were wrong! Lol just saw this yes you're right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You're what's commonly referred to as a jinx. ok nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc further west but not fully It's a big improvement though. I can't believe I'm saying this but every model is following the GFS. What world are we living in? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Okay, I'm officially excited. Almost 2" liquid into NYC and 1"+ back into PA and Upstate NY. Excitement is definitely warranted IMO. But just a little bit of caution to keep the discussion grounded. That 2" liquid to NYC includes about 0.3" from today. And the 6z GFS had more QPF a little further west into PA than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 For the record, January 7-8, 1996 started late on Sunday morning.Carry on.ps - If the GFS verifies, I would love a post-mortem read from you guys on what the GFS detected, that the others missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 hours ago, qg_omega said: Nice The 12z Canadian also had a nice run showing 6”+ potential closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Canadian moving towards the GFS. Depending on Euro we could see watches late today. All models trending towards a significant (6"+) storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Freezing Drizzle said: For the record, January 7-8, 1996 started late on Sunday morning.Carry on.ps - If the GFS verifies, I would love a post-mortem read from you guys on what the GFS detected, that the others missed. But it also started with temperatures around 13° in the city. Not the same thing here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Jma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2/20 12z GGEM Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You're what's commonly referred to as a jinx. THE MUSH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 GEFS already leaning more west wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, nycsnow said: GEFS already leaning more west wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i'd go with Blizzard warnings for NYC and east! Include the Eastern most counties of NJ all the way down to Ocean County - BUT just start with a Winter Storm Watch IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 56 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/20 12z Summary Total QPF NYC SREF: 1.2 NAM: 0.9 RGEM: 0.7 ICON: 1.0 GFS: 1.6 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.7 GGEM: 0.6 Updated 12z Suite total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, NEG NAO said: Include the Eastern most counties of NJ all the way down to Ocean County - BUT just start with a Winter Storm Watch IMO yeah they don't have blizzard watches anymore so figure they'll do winter storm watches, mention possibility of blizzard conditions than upgrade to blizzard warnings saturday at 4pm update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Insane for a mean on gefs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: yeah they don't have blizzard watches anymore so figure they'll do winter storm watches, mention possibility of blizzard conditions than upgrade to blizzard warnings saturday at 4pm update Can wait till Sunday if they are needed - remember all the requirements have to be met - winds etc. etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Omg we get naked for that gfs run, please happen. Lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2/20 12z GFS GEFS 24H mean total QPG 18z Monday 2/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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