wthrmn654 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Which snowman here is obsessed with wind events? This could be your storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Wow writings on the wall lol we get fooled every week. People will start looking at a storm that’s 8 days out all over a again, rinse repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Models usually lose storms in the mid range to bring it back. Are you new ? majority of ensemble members have yet to fully support the OPS - except maybe an AI ensemble which is not a proven in the long term to be accurate yet - so they never actually lost the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: majority of ensemble members have yet to fully support the OPS - except maybe an AI ensemble which is not a proven in the long term to be accurate yet - so they never actually lost the storm We’re about to see another slow torturous trend of a miss huh? Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The Euro Ai is a wobble away from where it was earlier. Tons of potential with this system, some beautiful classic off hour model quite meltdowns happening. Somethings never change. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, nycsnow said: We’re about to see another slow torturous trend of a miss huh? Haha I think this is either gone or established as a likely impact by this time Thursday. There should be a solid move towards one idea or another by then 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 omg it's 5 days out and we didn't lose the storm! Jeez you guys act like babies sometimes. Let it play out 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 This sub is more bipolar than Kahn Souphanousinphone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 omg it's 5 days out and we didn't lose the storm! Jeez you guys act like babies sometimes. Let it play outKinda like how u started a thread then had it locked 4 days out. Let it play out lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 39 minutes ago, Dark Star said: You folks are in a different climate... For sure but still part of the same forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 IF this happens, we're in mid moon phase to limit coastal flooding. I would like to see what the max wind potential is of a bombing storm this rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Wow writings on the wall lol we get fooled every week. People will start looking at a storm that’s 8 days out all over a again, rinse repeat . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 well, i am 63 and can count on one hand the number of big snows after mid feb in cnj. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said: . an unsung classic. great from start to finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: Wow writings on the wall lol we get fooled every week. People will start looking at a storm that’s 8 days out all over a again, rinse repeat Been playing kick the can since 1/25. Still early and we weren't going to be in the bullseye 5 days straight...but the worrying thing is that most of these storms have been wide right this year. OP euro not having anything is concerning... See what happens tomorrow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 19 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: well, i am 63 and can count on one hand the number of big snows after mid feb in cnj. Hmmm. Fwiw, on the 12"+ snowstorm list for CPK (28 total), only one is in late February, February 25-26, 2010. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Gotta love this place; primary to Buffalo at 06z followed by OTS at 18z, all in a day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: Hmmm. Fwiw, on the 12"+ snowstorm list for CPK (28 total), only one is in late February, February 25-26, 2010. I'm not sure where you're getting that list from but that's not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: Hmmm. Fwiw, on the 12"+ snowstorm list for CPK (28 total), only one is in late February, February 25-26, 2010. But they had 4 in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I'm not sure where you're getting that list from but that's not even close. www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/BiggestSnowstorms.pdf In the period of late February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 9 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: Hmmm. Fwiw, on the 12"+ snowstorm list for CPK (28 total), only one is in late February, February 25-26, 2010. Climo, should always remain heavily weighted when in a sub-optimal setup... as you point out. Still, enjoyable to track. Offers an opportunity to find biases in models, year over year. Wouldn't surprise me to see decent pattern-changing coastal as winter winds down, but didn't expect to see it so soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/BiggestSnowstorms.pdf In late the period of late February. There's 39 total, 12 inch or greater storms in Central Park and 8 from Mid February (15th) through March. The most recent is is Feb 25 2010 20.9 inches that you noted, Feb 19, 1979 12.7 inches, Feb 20, 1921 12.5 inches and 5 in March. Not as many as I thought there would be so it does show how difficult it is for the City to get a blockbuster this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
[email protected] Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 37 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Been playing kick the can since 1/25. Still early and we weren't going to be in the bullseye 5 days straight...but the worrying thing is that most of these storms have been wide right this year. OP euro not having anything is concerning... See what happens tomorrow... He shanked it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: So, all but 1 seem solid to great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 0 for 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2/18 00Z ICON goes the wrong way Total QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: 0 for 1 Not a good start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Wow is the euro going to win here after being alone ? Its right when we dont want it to be right but when it shows something good its wrong. Cant trust these models past 5 days. Icon now has nothing up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Wow is the euro going to win here after being alone ? Its right when we dont want it to be right but when it shows something good its wrong. Cant trust these models past 5 days. Icon now has nothing up here. They just love to tease us 5 or 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now