bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Starving for attention are we? He succeeded. It’s the most “popular” post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 22 minutes ago, Solution Man said: I see that this hobby isn’t for you If its meteorologically possible, we track it. Fuck an MJO. It isnt the master of the atmosphere. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This is very acceptable for a mean at this range. GEFS and CMC ens are decent too. Pretty strong signal. 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Take this ensemble as a MAJOR grain of salt, but FWIW 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Anyone still like the WeatherNext 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol.Except aren’t we in 2-3 until maybe right when the storm hits? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: This is very acceptable for a mean at this range. GEFS and CMC ens are decent too. Pretty strong signal. We have better consensus across the ensembles, and if they hold, the ops will follow in the next couple days. Then we have something legit to track! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Anyone still like the WeatherNext That purple pants tent is right over @stormtracker house. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: If its meteorologically possible, we track it. Fuck an MJO. It isnt the master of the atmosphere. bro don't tempt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Anyone still like the WeatherNext I thought this model was generally doing pretty well, rarely see it posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 start the thread jk 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 28 minutes ago, bncho said: Take this ensemble as a MAJOR grain of salt, but FWIW That would be the perfect snowstorm. This week can then be used to continue melting whatever foulness is left as well as attempting to shed a couple lbs (I’ve gained an easy 10 lbs this winter lol). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 31 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Anyone still like the WeatherNext Wow... Just curious How accurate is the "weather next"?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Wow... Just curious How accurate is the "weather next"?? Jury’s still out. Keep in mind that it is a 64 member ensemble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 36 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Anyone still like the WeatherNext Looks a lot like the Ukie, which is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 My big win is that I haven't had to create the 2026 Severe Weather Discussion thread yet. We've done it as early as December for the following year before - but generally seems to average out to mid-February lately (always a pesky dynamic system threatening to give us a pencil thin and low topped squall line). So if nothing else - seems we are still "wintry enough" to not need my annual installment. Whew. 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 14 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Wow... Just curious How accurate is the "weather next"?? We were clued into it by a soothsayer I believe from the NE forum. It was locked in pretty early to the snowy solution to the storm about two weeks ago that we were tracking. Remember that storm? Me neither. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 29 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Wow... Just curious How accurate is the "weather next"?? Gemini has frigid cold and dry Feb 23-24 with a major winter storm Wed February 25. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 25 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Jury’s still out. Keep in mind that it is a 64 member ensemble Oh ok thanks bro.. . so ud think the more members in the ensemble, the more accurate it would be.. IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Analog time frame day a Go and notice how the cold air is coming down from NY State and PA and not rolling off Maine nor plunging down thru ND/SD and rolling eastward where timing of cold air can be a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, IronTy said: We were clued into it by a soothsayer I believe from the NE forum. It was locked in pretty early to the snowy solution to the storm about two weeks ago that we were tracking. Remember that storm? Me neither. Musta been that storm that stayed way south east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Looks a lot like the Ukie, which is fine by me. Well at least it has the Ukie backing it.. better then no model support at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Musta been that storm that stayed way south east. Maybe it was the SE forum. I think @bncho knew a guy who knew a guy who called for it giving us epic snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, IronTy said: Maybe it was the SE forum. I think @bncho knew a guy who knew a guy who called for it giving us epic snows. Well that storm was way wide right if I recall. Was good for the outerbanks, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, IronTy said: Maybe it was the SE forum. I think @bncho knew a guy who knew a guy who called for it giving us epic snows. I got the maps from a met in SouthernWX, but since nothing winter related is going on in the south, he's out of comission for now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 hours ago, Heisy said: Here is ukie, Gotta see temps first not sure where it goes from there. CMC has completely different spacing vs icon/gfs/ukie. Would like to see the euro/ai be in the good camp. PAC is likely to give models some issues next 2 days or so until the progression is settled on Winds DC 15-20 gusting to 35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, RickinBaltimore said: One of those times I'd rather not see snow this weekend. Oldest is performing in the Maryland All State Chorus on Sunday. Congrats on that. I made All State band my senior year in HS and it’s real tough competition 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Not shocking icon h5 is no where near what it was at 12z not even close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, jewell2188 said: MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol. MJO is but one possible component among many and a new signal gets introduced every year. Plus the effects have changed. Nino and Nina used to be very consistent predictors for 50 years but less so now. AO/NAO still very vital but the rest are largely research in progress 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 hours ago, soadforecasterx said: stalled and tucked. sign me up please Of course. Gotta go to Houston (on purpose) this weekend. If that happened, I’d be sick. If it’s on the map tomm, I’ll start faking the beginning of an illness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts