Is we back? February discussion thread

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

27 at ORH today

Congrats 

[dendrite]

Bad start for da charts

[George001]

36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

2/16 is kind of a mess on guidance....I'm hedging that something will go wrong on that one, but I do think if it gets near the BM, it will be a good event for most. Cold has been undermodeled and even a degree or 2 will make a good difference for the CP. 

normally I’d look at the setup and say rain, but how cold the ocean temps are right now could help us (east winds not the death sentence they often are in these setups for the coast). If the low goes inland it will rain regardless, but I think we have more room for error than usual in these setups due to it being mid Feb + the unusually cold ocean temps. 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, George001 said:

normally I’d look at the setup and say rain, but how cold the ocean temps are right now could help us (east winds not the death sentence they often are in these setups for the coast). If the low goes inland it will rain regardless, but I think we have more room for error than usual in these setups due to it being mid Feb + the unusually cold ocean temps. 

I’m not worried about sfc temps for most…it’s the midlevels. But still a ping ways out. A whiff south is still a concern. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m not worried about sfc temps for most…it’s the midlevels. But still a ping ways out. A whiff south is still a concern. 

"Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

"Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?

Yup, I was gonna say was his mistake actually trying to tell us something .  Too funny. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI waaay south.