Is we back? February discussion thread

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

27 at ORH today

Congrats 

[dendrite]

Bad start for da charts

[George001]

36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

2/16 is kind of a mess on guidance....I'm hedging that something will go wrong on that one, but I do think if it gets near the BM, it will be a good event for most. Cold has been undermodeled and even a degree or 2 will make a good difference for the CP. 

normally I’d look at the setup and say rain, but how cold the ocean temps are right now could help us (east winds not the death sentence they often are in these setups for the coast). If the low goes inland it will rain regardless, but I think we have more room for error than usual in these setups due to it being mid Feb + the unusually cold ocean temps. 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, George001 said:

normally I’d look at the setup and say rain, but how cold the ocean temps are right now could help us (east winds not the death sentence they often are in these setups for the coast). If the low goes inland it will rain regardless, but I think we have more room for error than usual in these setups due to it being mid Feb + the unusually cold ocean temps. 

I’m not worried about sfc temps for most…it’s the midlevels. But still a ping ways out. A whiff south is still a concern. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m not worried about sfc temps for most…it’s the midlevels. But still a ping ways out. A whiff south is still a concern. 

"Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

"Still a 'ping' ways out"....Freudian slip?

Yup, I was gonna say was his mistake actually trying to tell us something .  Too funny. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI waaay south.

[brooklynwx99]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI waaay south.

its ensemble has consistently been farther north FWIW

[Ginx snewx]

Weeklies are snowy with bn temps.

[moneypitmike]

9 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But that doesn’t mean it has ti happen. BDL is having a top 15 coldest winter in history. That didn’t have to happen either . 

 

When are you installing?

[Damage In Tolland]

The machines may struggle with this particular event since they haven’t learned Archambault 

[Ginx snewx]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Bad start for da charts

3 degrees?  Lol enjoy your snow 

[Torch Tiger]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Weeklies are snowy with bn temps.

no they aren't

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

The machines may struggle with this particular event since they haven’t learned Archambault 

Heather liked Bobby Bobolinski.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

no they aren't

Don't know what the fuck your trolling ass is looking at. These are in Celsius 

[Typhoon Tip]

Wow.. GFS' starting to look like Feb 2020 ...