Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:12 PM Cold to start. Will storms return or mostly dry? Early spring? What will the groundhog say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted yesterday at 06:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:18 PM Is it too soon to start a thread? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Weeklies continue with this cold and stormy pattern until March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Per the Euro we are still below freezing through the 14th lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 54 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Per the Euro we are still below freezing through the 14th lol The 0z has temps briefly sneaking up above freezing on the 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago A few notes: ECMWF sub seasonal ensembles via ecmwf.int. imo tend to be too dry here in the northeast and deny the shorter range global ensemble expectations. Be alert for that. Huge error this past weekend - see attached ecmwf.int prediction the 19th, and you know what happened! Also fwiw: via ECMWF.int. Week 3-4, 2m temp departures, I suspect are related to snow cover... see the repeated weekly prediction of colder than normal-here ne USA and OH Valley, and where the snow depth is this morning (and the southern boundary likely to be close to that 16 days - Valentines Day) from now. GFS MOS (MEX). I have no access ecmwf mos. GFS MOS is missing too warm on nighttime lows NYC CP... this I think will be a factor on getting much colder than morning MEX MINS this weekend as the BL wind tends to go northernly---easier access CP. I still try for 2-3F above zero. This also portends the power of the weekend storm. Occasionally prior to these huge northeast snowstorms, it sets up with MB T cold prior to, like this past weekend, and what I think is likely this weekend (excepting unknown nw fringe of snowfall). If you read Weather Wise (Ludlum et al) issues for the big snowstorms including Kennedy Inaugural Jan 1961... big time cold prior to. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Gfs is clipper city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The 6z ECMWF-AIFS is pretty snowy late next week. The 12 AIGFS is very similar aloft. Pond ice is great. Winter tracking continues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Harbors will be frozen and walkable by 2/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted just now Share Posted just now The storm on the GFS around 2/11 has some promise. It’s a similar setup to last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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