Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Does anyone have 06z ensemble clusters?

[SJonesWX]

11 hours ago, tiger_deF said:

I wouldn’t. I’d be hopping up and down for that amount from a cutter, but if we aren’t getting obliterated from this kind of setup I’d almost rather it be a complete whiff.

qpf, not snowfall. 1/2-1" qpf would give roughly 6-12" of snow, depending on ratios of course

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Do you think it will Snow ?

I think at least a brush here, but I also think there will be a sharp gradient in QPF. 

[dryslot]

06z EPS, Looks like we have consolidated the far east members back into the mean but now we have gained a few that are west and closer to the coast.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I think at least a brush here, but I also think there will be a sharp gradient in QPF. 

In NY state somewhere 

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

06z EPS, Looks like we have consolidated the far east members back into the mean but now we have gained a few that are west and closer to the coast of the mean.

Looks like it’s tightening up, how far is the mean from 40/70?

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think at least a brush here, but I also think there will be a sharp gradient in QPF. 

I'm not a fan of that sharp cutoff to the precip field on the western side.

[tavwtby]

not a bad look 72 hours or so out, but I hope this isn't like the 2015 storm where there was 24+ amounts eor, and I was stuck with heavy sand and maybe 8-10" of it, I don't remember what I got here in that one honestly, but still impressive for poor snow growth, also coldest day so far at -7.6°

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Looks like it’s tightening up, how far is the mean from 40/70?

Looks like its 40/67.

[Go Kart Mozart]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

06z EPS, Looks like we have consolidated the far east members back into the mean but now we have gained a few that are west and closer to the coast.

Not great.  I was hoping for at least a cluster further west.  The Cape is in the game, the rest of us are struggling.

[Damage In Tolland]

https://x.com/huffmanheadsup/status/2016378076901281901?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[codfishsnowman]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is further west

Good luck easterners

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Not great.  I was hoping for at least a cluster further west.  The Cape is in the game, the rest of us are struggling.

Nothing so far has been great, Its stayed consistently offshore, We're going to need to start seeing some OP runs with hits if we have any chance back west

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/huffmanheadsup/status/2016378076901281901?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Lets hope they do.

[weatherwiz]

That double low feature continues yielding some big challenges. If that isn't a real thing this mostly comes west...but you never know with those features 

[jbenedet]

16 minutes ago, dryslot said:

06z EPS, Looks like we have consolidated the far east members back into the mean but now we have gained a few that are west and closer to the coast.

Amazing people are hating on this look.

Mid level fun for 90%
 

This is more powerful than the EC-AIFS at this lead time. Don’t get it twisted

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Lets hope they do.

Hard to go against that look 

[Ginx snewx]

[codfishsnowman]

49 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. 

No that produced well just south of the MA/CT border. I think BDL had 3-4 inches and just south at smaller airport 6-7 and I thought the whole Southington Bristol New Britian Waterbury zone was 6 to 9. The immediate shore crushed up to 20 inches

[Prismshine Productions]

Hard to go against that look 

What is that based on? Never saw those maps

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think at least a brush here, but I also think there will be a sharp gradient in QPF. 

I think worst case is my nightmare scenario that played out 4 years ago with the deform band handing just east of me, but could very well end up west.

[EastonSN+]

17 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Not great.  I was hoping for at least a cluster further west.  The Cape is in the game, the rest of us are struggling.

I this for us western the previous frame is more important. We need it to be further north to about the lower Delmarva. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

What is that based on? Never saw those maps

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

Go to CIPs analog page

[MJO812]

Cfs huge hit

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I this for us western the previous frame is more important. We need it to be further north to about the lower Delmarva. 

It's also important for us in the east as far as high-end potential is concerned.....I would cap things around a foot if it were to close off so far south.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cfs huge hit

This is low even for you. Go find someone with a headlight out or something. 

[ORH_wxman]

CFS? Lol. 
 

Surprised Ant didn’t pull out the Korean. 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think worst case is my nightmare scenario that played out 4 years ago with the deform band handing just east of me, but could very well end up west.

I’m hoping this has a massive slug shoved well into SNE vs a narrow occluded band. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think barring a significant regression, you can start tuning up the plows EOR because I don't see how this doesn't get banding well west of model depictions....again, assuming it doesn't verify further east.

[codfishsnowman]

At least its something to watch...We have the perfect base for milder tepid SWFE....get a few fresh inches then put a nice crusty top on it and build that way but we're probably out of SWFE luck for a long time now