NoCORH4L Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Ugh, she gone. They hardly ever come back in today's day and age. 3 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I never understood those who punt 5 days out on storms that aren't far off from being huge. gotta be some sort of coping/defense mechanism. Let it play out a bit more 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, ineedsnow said: Could be one of those cases where every model loses it in this time frame then comes back full force.. seen it many times in the 96hr to 120hr time frame I just don't trust a Miller A with Gulf stream origins to be fixed in a narrowly OTS path from day 6 in, but just me....my initial inclination was wrong last week, so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 It's all about jet placement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Systems with Gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I love people saying things like "my weather app says 3-5" of snow on Sunday" and me saying "well the forecast should really be 0-36 inches with a bimodal distribution around 0 and 20" but apparently people would rather have wrong forecasts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 The part of the wave ejecting out of the southwest is going to rotate around that ULL, wherever it sets up. When it rounds it, we want it to be oriented northward, because if it’s east or northeast it’s going to do what you’re seeing on a lot of the these runs where the ULL gets dragged eastward away from the coast too early that or we want the cutoff to form much further north so that the storm forms further north to begin with 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Could be one of those cases where every model loses it in this time frame then comes back full force.. seen it many times in the 96hr to 120hr time frame Could do that. Could also go the other way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc Para is a nice hit Funny... GIL Simmons from WTNH has been touting the Canadian model as his favorite for the last few storms ( he mentioned it had done the best in his opinion )... So I'm curious what the CMC showed as far as it being a hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc Para is a nice hit What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Systems with gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that Hoping the Gulf of Mexico moisture trends it left 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, dryslot said: What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny? Too early to whip out the SREFs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Surprised no one commented on full moon goon Feb 1-2 Too much uncertainty. Sounds like a cop out but I'd wait until at least Thurs 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 What is the JMA showing $$$$%%% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Who cares about OP model runs at 5+ days out. What does Skynet have to say? Skynet scores better at medium range than any of the OP models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Hoping the Gulf of Mexico moisture trends it left There is no such thing . Merica 1 4 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, metagraphica said: Who cares about OP model runs at 5+ days out. What does Skynet have to say? Skynet scores better at medium range than any of the OP models. A near miss I believe? Skynet OP or Ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Plenty of time for little tics like this: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Surprised no one commented on full moon goon Feb 1-2 Too much uncertainty. Sounds like a cop out but I'd wait until at least Thurs 0z. Oh believe me its on my mind at least 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 9 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Funny... GIL Simmons from WTNH has been touting the Canadian model as his favorite for the last few storms ( he mentioned it had done the best in his opinion )... So I'm curious what the CMC showed as far as it being a hit? 12/21/09 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27 Author Share Posted January 27 Heh... EPS mean shifted bodily SE ... consolidated at a deep pressure mean, too - it's not even in margin of error on that depiction - it's just flat bodily wrong, or, bodily right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Too early to whip out the SREFs? Yes, Only goes out to hr 87? But will they crush? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Fisher mentions March of 2014... Cape storm with a lot of wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Could do that. Could also go the other way. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks. Fuck it just wait a week. Tip doesn't get this one I want it 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Fisher mentions March of 2014... Cape storm with a lot of wind 2/1999 was one I thought of too though I think that missed the Carolinas, that backed in from well out over the ocean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks. We just don't know (I think it is a Cape Scraper in the end... hope you are right) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 2/1999 was one I thought of too though I think that missed the Carolinas, that backed in from well out over the ocean Lol 15 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 37 minutes ago, dryslot said: What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny? DGEX jackpot up here every time. Miss that model, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Systems with Gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that The "Gulf of America" will ICE it out. The Gulf of Mexico is more open to Miller A immigration. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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