metagraphica Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Weary and wary of Debbie's. How many times have we seen deform bands appear 100s of miles from the center. Certainly! Feb 8th, 2016 was a great example of decent snowfall from a storm that was hundred of miles offshore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Maybe your part of CT like living in Springfield and saying it's bye for Massachusetts I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: With inflow off the ocean? Hard sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, metagraphica said: Certainly! Feb 8th, 2016 was a great example of decent snowfall from a storm that was hundred of miles offshore. One of many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it Like last time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Like last time? Like last time when. This last storm we just had? Not sure what you're getting at.... Give me a good reason why I shouldn't be giving up on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 last time NAM scored a big one was January 23rd 2016 blizzard, can it do it again? NAM gets into range in the next run let's see how it does! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CT Rain said: Lol you played catch up last storm like every biggie we have ever had. Stay conservative your whole life Ryan its the easy way out. Quickly saturated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Like last time when. This last storm we just had? Not sure what you're getting at.... Give me a good reason why I shouldn't be giving up on this storm. It's Wednesday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: last time NAM scored a big one was January 23rd 2016 blizzard, can it do it again? NAM gets into range in the next run let's see how it does! This is giving me flashbacks to Hurricane Lee and Hurricane Melissa. Models shifting away farther and farther from shore, every minor West shift a sign things would turn around and they never did. It's tough being a tropical weather weenie in New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I am just saying even 4 or 5 inches is certainly viable EOR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 8 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Certainly! Feb 8th, 2016 was a great example of decent snowfall from a storm that was hundred of miles offshore. Nice catch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it Except it hasn’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 34 minutes ago, FXWX said: What cracks me up a bit, is 2 days ago we were screaming about the extreme look to the digging / closing off of the 500 level, and how rare it was! Well we still see the extreme solution, 525 closed off on the SC coast and we are just assuming it and it's surface reflection are being perfectly modeled & there will not be any surprises? Well, maybe it is being predicted perfectly, but I remain wary? I’ve been saying this for years…everybody assumes, and all the time I might add, that the modeling has a perfect handle on all the players. If we were 36-48 hrs out, then that’s a little different story. But at 4 days it’s comical. And these people do this every single storm when it’s close. Folks never seem to learn. Send the hurricane hunters out, and get some good sampling into the models, and if it’s still the same, then we can write it off for good. The HH did that last week, and it changed everything. Need to do it again. As I said yesterday, OTS is a bigger concern than an occluded storm…at least for CT anyway. Further north maybe a different story. But I’ll take my chances with a powerhouse that’s peaked a little south/southwest of me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 28 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Not pictured is the dry air at 850mb. Ooops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Gonna need this thing to dig further west. 12z trends were the opposite. Still in the game but can’t afford any additional trending east 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Gonna need this thing to dig further west. 12z trends were the opposite. Still in the game but can’t afford any additional trending east Gonna need some HH data…get that into the models, and that’ll clear this up fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Gonna need this thing to dig further west. 12z trends were the opposite. Still in the game but can’t afford any additional trending east Scooter is going to get a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Scooter is going to get a foot Did you advise the Weymouth DPW that? They came by to widen my street and put all this shit at the end of my driveway. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Did you advise the Weymouth DPW that? They came by to widen my street and put all this shit at the end of my driveway. They know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Not time to throw in the towel just yet - but we should keep em handy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Did you advise the Weymouth DPW that? They came by to widen my street and put all this shit at the end of my driveway. They did that here late last winter and it didn’t snow again after that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 This just has that feeling . As is everyone here gets snow. Just trend it better starting tonight 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I feel like some will be dumbfounded 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Still early on the NAM, but the h5 is trending west from the last run. That ridge out west has trended west as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, dendrite said: I feel like some will be dumbfounded That it snows or doesn’t snow? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Kitz Craver said: That it snows or doesn’t snow? Lol He’s leaning snow back to Albany 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Still early on the NAM, but the h5 is trending west from the last run. That ridge out west has trended west as well. I saw that to moments ago. That's the signature that you want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: That it snows or doesn’t snow? Lol He’s just being a clown..f’n around is all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Ditty knows what I mean 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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