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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.


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21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Weary and wary of Debbie's. How many times have we seen deform bands appear 100s of miles from the center. 

Certainly! Feb 8th, 2016 was a great example of decent snowfall from a storm that was hundred of miles offshore.

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Storm_02-08-2016.JPG

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21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Maybe your part of CT like living in Springfield and saying it's bye for Massachusetts 

I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it

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Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it

Like last time? 

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2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

last time NAM scored a big one was January 23rd 2016 blizzard, can it do it again? NAM gets into range in the next run let's see how it does!

This is giving me flashbacks to Hurricane Lee and Hurricane Melissa. Models shifting away farther and farther from shore, every minor West shift a sign things would turn around and they never did. It's tough being a tropical weather weenie in New England. 

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8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I'd be surprised if any parts of Connecticut are in it. Maybe there's a chance in the far Eastern Southeastern part of Connecticut. But this thing has just been trending further and further away. I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. I want this as much as anyone else. But sometimes you just have to call it. If I'm wrong then I'll admit to it

Except it hasn’t 

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34 minutes ago, FXWX said:

What cracks me up a bit, is 2 days ago we were screaming about the extreme look to the digging / closing off of the 500 level, and how rare it was! Well we still see the extreme solution, 525 closed off on the SC coast and we are just assuming it and it's surface reflection are being perfectly modeled & there will not be any surprises?  Well, maybe it is being predicted perfectly, but I remain wary?

I’ve been saying this for years…everybody assumes, and all the time I might add, that the modeling has a perfect handle on all the players.   If we were 36-48 hrs out, then that’s a little different story. But at 4 days it’s comical. And these people do this every single storm when it’s close.  Folks never seem to learn.  
 

Send the hurricane hunters out, and get some good sampling into the models, and if it’s still the same, then we can write it off for good. The HH did that last week, and it changed everything.  Need to do it again. 

As I said yesterday, OTS is a bigger concern than an occluded storm…at least for CT anyway. Further north maybe a different story.  But I’ll take my chances with a powerhouse that’s peaked a little south/southwest of me. 

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Did you advise the Weymouth DPW that? They came by to widen my street and put all this shit at the end of my driveway. 

They did that here late last winter and it didn’t snow again after that

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4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Still early on the NAM, but the h5 is trending west from the last run.  That ridge out west has trended west as well.

I saw that to moments ago. That's the signature that you want to see.

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