dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Yup…more suppression up here in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea these small ticks back and forth at this lead time does not breed confidence we can trend it far enough NW next 3 days for a regional hit. I would be really surprised if we get much, if anything from this....Sometimes things have that look, maybe a few days ago this one did. At this point it just seems like once we get closer to go time, this storm will consolidate further off shore. Carolinas, maybe even the Delmarva region. Cape region still has a shot, but out here, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 really want to give this until 12z tomorrow before totally writing off...well at least when talking about back towards and west of the CT River. This is going to be a really close call in the end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Too bad. Would be a hell of a storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: AI GFS tick east. GFS op more potent with PV lobe, but more confluence here. Shit streak ruining the 12z runs so far. Seems like for every positive influence there’s an equal or worse negative influence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 13 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i'm back on the train cuzo. i think euro ai trends back west big time today and doesn't have a good handle on nor'easters Keep me updated on your thoughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Still looks like it trys to pivot back a bit west late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 At leaast Ray can blog about the outer banks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I would be really surprised if we get much, if anything from this....Sometimes things have that look, maybe a few days ago this one did. At this point it just seems like once we get closer to go time, this storm will consolidate further off shore. Carolinas, maybe even the Delmarva region. Cape region still has a shot, but out here, meh Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: Too bad. Would be a hell of a storm. Yeah just not feeling this one. The Cape could still get hit hard though. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: At leaast Ray can blog about the outer banks. Still not sold on a miss. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? My core included 2 in pack already on the ground You were in the meat. I was in the fringe. We both experienced it but your experience was southern sne and mine was pike region which borders on northern sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 Hate to say ... fast fukin' atmosphere striking again in this RDPD run... this rapid inject over the crown of the +PNAP ridge out west is screwing things up... 'Is it real? I dunno 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Yeah it ain't happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Late surge this run NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 It would of made this a historic stretch out here and practically sealed a great winter but nice things aren’t given that easily… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still not sold on a miss. I'm just kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still not sold on a miss. Lock step on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Effing boob lows again. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 All the convection is wreaking havoc on the model placement with the low at the surface. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Almost 2" QPF for CHH. Feb 89 bliz repeat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 Maybe this is how you get winter enthusiasts to finally stop playing the "I'm not a denier while failing to admit CC is playing a factor" game ... By consummately bending them over with this fast flow shit, their bums may finally reach quota of violation enough to penetrate their minds with it. haha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Here it comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Maybe this is how you get winter enthusiasts to finally stop playing the "I'm not a denier while failing to admit CC is playing a factor" game ... But consummately bending them over with this fast flow shit, their bums may finally reach quota of violation enough to penetrate their minds with it. haha That would be harder looking out at 2 feet. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Maybe this is how you get winter enthusiasts to finally stop playing the "I'm not a denier while failing to admit CC is playing a factor" game ... By consummately bending them over with this fast flow shit, their bums may finally reach quota of violation enough to penetrate their minds with it. haha The only thing that has me bent over this month is the herniated disc I incurred from all of the shoveling....thanks, CC. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 A miss would hurt due to what could have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Here it comes ...for ACK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Late surge this run NW The ULL was a little slower and that trailing shortwave got a little more SE…maybe it feeling a bit of a “pull” last minute? I wish this s/w would just dive in sooner behind it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It would of made this a historic stretch out here and practically sealed a great winter but nice things aren’t given that easily… That's what hurts the most. This could have been a great one a week after a massive hit. That plus not seeing much in the near term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: The ULL was a little slower and that trailing shortwave got a little more SE…maybe it feeling a bit of a “pull” last minute? I wish this s/w would just dive in sooner behind it. Maybe it ends up missing, but I can tell you all of the pieces aren't nailed at this range...doesn't have to mean it shifts in our favor, but this isn't 100% accurate as modeled, either. Lots of elements interacting here. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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