Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[NoCORH4L]

Ugh, she gone. They hardly ever come back in today's day and age.

[SouthCoastMA]

I never understood those who punt 5 days out on storms that aren't far off from being huge. gotta be some sort of coping/defense mechanism. Let it play out a bit more 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Could be one of those cases where every model loses it in this time frame then comes back full force.. seen it many times in the 96hr to 120hr time frame 

I just don't trust a Miller A with Gulf stream origins to be fixed in a narrowly OTS path from day 6 in, but just me....my initial inclination was wrong last week, so....

[Ginx snewx]

It's all about jet placement

[Damage In Tolland]

Systems with Gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that 

[ariof]

I love people saying things like "my weather app says 3-5" of snow on Sunday" and me saying "well the forecast should really be 0-36 inches with a bimodal distribution around 0 and 20" but apparently people would rather have wrong forecasts.

[Wxbear25]

The part of the wave ejecting out of the southwest is going to rotate around that ULL, wherever it sets up. When it rounds it, we want it to be oriented northward, because if it’s east or northeast it’s going to do what you’re seeing on a lot of the these runs where the ULL gets dragged eastward away from the coast too early

that or we want the cutoff to form much further north so that the storm forms further north to begin with

[HoarfrostHubb]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Could be one of those cases where every model loses it in this time frame then comes back full force.. seen it many times in the 96hr to 120hr time frame 

Could do that.  Could also go the other way.    

[Snowcrazed71]

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc Para is a nice hit

Funny... GIL Simmons from WTNH has been touting the Canadian model as his favorite for the last few storms ( he mentioned it had done the best in his opinion )... So I'm curious what the CMC showed as far as it being a hit? 

[dryslot]

15 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc Para is a nice hit

What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny?

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Systems with gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that 

Hoping the Gulf of Mexico moisture trends it left 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, dryslot said:

What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny?

Too early to whip out the SREFs?

[wxsniss]

Surprised no one commented on full moon goon Feb 1-2

Too much uncertainty. Sounds like a cop out but I'd wait until at least Thurs 0z.

[tomcatct]

What is the JMA showing $$$$%%%

[metagraphica]

Who cares about OP model runs at 5+ days out. What does Skynet have to say? Skynet scores better at medium range than any of the OP models.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hoping the Gulf of Mexico moisture trends it left 

There is no such thing .

Merica 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, metagraphica said:

Who cares about OP model runs at 5+ days out. What does Skynet have to say? Skynet scores better at medium range than any of the OP models.

A near miss I believe? Skynet OP or Ens?

[Go Kart Mozart]

Plenty of time for little tics like this:

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Surprised no one commented on full moon goon Feb 1-2

Too much uncertainty. Sounds like a cop out but I'd wait until at least Thurs 0z.

Oh believe me its on my mind at least 

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Funny... GIL Simmons from WTNH has been touting the Canadian model as his favorite for the last few storms ( he mentioned it had done the best in his opinion )... So I'm curious what the CMC showed as far as it being a hit? 

12/21/09

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh... EPS mean shifted bodily SE ...  consolidated at a deep pressure mean, too -

it's not even in margin of error on that depiction - it's just flat bodily wrong, or, bodily right

[dryslot]

16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Too early to whip out the SREFs?

Yes, Only goes out to hr 87? But will they crush?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Fisher mentions March of 2014... Cape storm with a lot of wind

[40/70 Benchmark]

28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Could do that.  Could also go the other way.    

Thanks.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Thanks.

Fuck it just wait a week.  Tip doesn't get this one I want it

[SnowGoose69]

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Fisher mentions March of 2014... Cape storm with a lot of wind

2/1999 was one I thought of too though I think that missed the Carolinas, that backed in from well out over the ocean

[HoarfrostHubb]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Thanks.

We just don't know

 

(I think it is a Cape Scraper in the end... hope you are right)

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

2/1999 was one I thought of too though I think that missed the Carolinas, that backed in from well out over the ocean

Lol 15 here.

[powderfreak]

37 minutes ago, dryslot said:

What did the DGEX have? 940mb up your fanny?

DGEX jackpot up here every time.  Miss that model, lol.

[Hailstoned]

44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Systems with Gulf of America moisture love to come north. Remember that 

The "Gulf of America" will ICE it out. The Gulf of Mexico is more open to Miller A immigration.