Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 18z ICON shifted entire ULL north NNE about 200mi. Looks like following 120hr it would ride up coast before kicking out to sea.Yea that wasn’t going to escape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members Ain't happening James. Had to say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now. Right up the Hudson, and congrats PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Oh boy. Gfs better at h5 too. Just keep it real and close for another 2 days… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Heh....I wonder if we don't rug-pull the Miller A component of this again....I spy with my little eye a cream-pants analog for SNE. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/major-follow-up-potential-looms-next.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Looks like its going to be a bit east this run of the 18z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oh boy. Gfs better at h5 too. Just keep it real and close for another 2 days… Maybe not better in the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like its going to be a bit east this run of the 18z GFS. Yea I thought it had a better shot early on as the n stream dug further sw but nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Scotty Norwood there on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea I thought it had a better shot early on as the n stream dug further sw but nope. Funny you say that, I thought the same thing early on from where it was but the trough stayed positive to far east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 51 minutes ago, Heisy said: Yea that wasn’t going to escape . I expect a north trend again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Shot this ends up as Miller B east 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Shot this ends up as Miller B east Legit question, how does a Miller A? turn/morph into a Miller B? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Funny you say that, I thought the same thing early on from where it was but the trough stayed positive to far east. The trailing backside energy is late too and tries to spin up it’s own closed h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The trailing backside energy is late too and tries to spin up it’s own closed h5. Kind of acted as a kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 This evolution is less likely than the previous handling. +PNA ridge axis demos zero propagation toward the E between the 12z and 18z; there's really no mechanical reason to foist the deep layer farther E. If anything, the previous run ( and this one certainly by same convention - ) was too far E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 GFS hasn't handle east coast systems very well from longer lead times, Going to need a few more cycles. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Legit question, how does a Miller A? turn/morph into a Miller B? Well if you keep trending the main shortwave well northeast like the ICON did, eventually it will just be a low in the OH valley redeveloping off Mid-atlantic. Right now it's not doing that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 18z v 12zSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I’m guessing this is not comIng. Unfortunately. Too many moving parts 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 18 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: 18z v 12z Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Consolidated in the wrong direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro AI is west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 ECM-AI a massive hit for eastern new England. Looking closer it ended up just outside benchmark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro AI is west Looks about the same to me blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/661689c1-3cea-4e25-a83d-706929ced4e5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 28 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: 18z v 12z Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Stronger but easterer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m guessing this is not comIng. Unfortunately. Too many moving parts 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: ECM-AI a massive hit for eastern new England. Looking closer it ended up just outside benchmark Lol classic. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I will have a snowmap ready by tomorrow afternoon for anyone that's interested. 2 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Oh boy, Better run, Gets precip pretty far north even though slp stayed south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: I will have a snowmap ready by tomorrow afternoon for anyone that's interested. Start high. But dont worry, we can always go higher 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 10 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Looks about the same to me blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/661689c1-3cea-4e25-a83d-706929ced4e5 Track wise, yes, but the intensity is greater thus leading to more precip. its a solid hit for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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