Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[Heisy]

18z ICON shifted entire ULL north NNE about 200mi. Looks like following 120hr it would ride up coast before kicking out to sea.

Yea that wasn’t going to escape




.

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members

 

 

Ain't happening James.

Had to say it.

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now.

Right up the Hudson, and congrats PF 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Oh boy. Gfs better at h5 too. Just keep it real and close for another 2 days…

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Heh....I wonder if we don't rug-pull the Miller A component of this again....I spy with my little eye a cream-pants analog for SNE.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/major-follow-up-potential-looms-next.html

 

 

[dryslot]

Looks like its going to be a bit east this run of the 18z GFS.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh boy. Gfs better at h5 too. Just keep it real and close for another 2 days…

Maybe not better in the end. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Looks like its going to be a bit east this run of the 18z GFS.

Yea I thought it had a better shot early on as the n stream dug further sw but nope.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Scotty Norwood there on the GFS

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea I thought it had a better shot early on as the n stream dug further sw but nope.

Funny you say that, I thought the same thing early on from where it was but the trough stayed positive to far east.

[40/70 Benchmark]

51 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Yea that wasn’t going to escape




.

I expect a north trend again.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Shot this ends up as Miller B east

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Shot this ends up as Miller B east

Legit question, how does a Miller A? turn/morph into a Miller B? 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Funny you say that, I thought the same thing early on from where it was but the trough stayed positive to far east.

The trailing backside energy is late too and tries to spin up it’s own closed h5. 

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The trailing backside energy is late too and tries to spin up it’s own closed h5. 

Kind of acted as a kicker.

[Typhoon Tip]

This evolution is less likely than the previous handling. 

+PNA ridge axis demos zero propagation toward the E between the 12z and 18z;  there's really no mechanical reason to foist the deep layer farther E.  If anything, the previous run ( and this one certainly by same convention - ) was too far E.  

[dryslot]

GFS hasn't handle east coast systems very well from longer lead times, Going to need a few more cycles.

[ORH_wxman]

17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Legit question, how does a Miller A? turn/morph into a Miller B? 

Well if you keep trending the main shortwave well northeast like the ICON did, eventually it will just be a low in the OH valley redeveloping off Mid-atlantic. Right now it's not doing that. 

[Prismshine Productions]

18z v 12z

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’m guessing this is not comIng. Unfortunately.

Too many moving parts 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

18z v 12z

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

Consolidated in the wrong direction 

[MJO812]

Euro AI is west