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OBS: 1/25-26 Snow/Sleet


jm1220
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Just now, ILoveWinter said:

It almost always moves fast once it gets to Philly. I’m guessing it’ll slow down for a bit before racing up again.

Yeah - we will see it slow down, but it really depends on the precip enhancement with the coastal. Gun to head estimate is that it makes it to mid-Westchester with a battle between IP/SN after 2 PM for Manhattan to Tuckahoe. 

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2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

You can see the lull in the echos over S NJ where just before the sleet takes over. The warm air will advance during any lull. We want that to fill in before it gets here. 

starting to get a lull right now where i'm at. at least its a lull compared to earlier.

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That sleet line is advancing folks....it was expected and if anything, it is ahead of schedule.  My thought was always to at least route 80 and the NJ/NY border and even a little north of there was always in play.  Enjoy what we have it is beautiful out there.  So far rates and ratios have saved the day getting us to the range of most of the reasonable forecasts.  

Things are pretty much on schedule accumulation wise I think.

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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Parts of bucks county are going back and forth so during heavier rates it will probably be a mix or flip back and forth. At least i hope

Looking at the Correlation Coefficient radar sleet would be at Staten Island within 30 to 45 mins.

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to Freehold / Princeton mixing with sleet. 

Gotta be specific imo with I-95 and the orientation of the snow sleet line. The sleet line is approaching from the southwest not west to east


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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Around 6 I'd guess

well, i said my ceiling for swfe's was around 6 for snow before changeover.....key word; around....looks like we may get several inches on the sleet end though, not sure how you measure that with compression....

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12/ 8 mostly snow here w/ some IP

 

about 7.5 on the ground on 0.38 LE.  Seems like 0.75 - 1.00 more to go which might be primarily sleet here so a total of 8 - 10/11 of accumulation and by that point concrete

 

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