Eskimo Joe Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The 12z "traditional" Euro EPS really upped the ante for Philly. Several double digit hits, and only a few duds (less than 3"). Out of 50 members, I only count 11% (6 members) with less than 3" of snow. Everything else is warning level or better. Again, what a signal from Dr. No at this range. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago GFS follows ensembles and comes aboard.. Choo choo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Lighter accumulations on the 18z GFS, but better than what it $hite out at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Ill beat Facebook map man to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS really is out to lunch lmfao. I should learn this by now. How does a model go from literally nothing to warning level snowfall in 1 run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Duca892 said: GFS really is out to lunch lmfao. I should learn this by now. How does a model go from literally nothing to warning level snowfall in 1 run MY reasoning why: as more w pac data finally gets ingested into the GFS since it is hamstrung on obtaining reliable data for baja Ca/4 corner lows and when the LP will be ejected out to arklatex area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GEFS another tick north, 0.6" QPF up to southern Berks and Lehigh. 0.7" into Philly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Newman said: GEFS another tick north, 0.6" QPF up to southern Berks and Lehigh. 0.7" into Philly. Would be nice to see another tick or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago It’s only Tuesday, we don’t want large swings. Subtle ticks from now until week’s end is fine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: The 12z "traditional" Euro EPS really upped the ante for Philly. Several double digit hits, and only a few duds (less than 3"). Out of 50 members, I only count 11% (6 members) with less than 3" of snow. Everything else is warning level or better. Again, what a signal from Dr. No at this range. And if THEY'RE starting to get double digits hits in there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago we just got nuked on the 18z euro. Full clean phase. 12-16" se pa 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: we just got nuked on the 18z euro. Full clean phase. 12-16" se pa Why can’t this be 24hrs from now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: we just got nuked on the 18z euro. Full clean phase. 12-16" se pa Probably more. It wasn’t done yet at the end of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago North again this is a great day feel time for more north adjustments 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago First system I felt strongly enough to come on and discuss in a LONG while. hello all!! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 33 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Why can’t this be 24hrs from now Tracking is half the fun…the ups and downs, the highs and lows, the Jackpots and rug pulls. It’s kind of like Christmas when you were a kid. The anticipation is what made it great. Once you came downstairs and saw what Santa left you, Christmas was over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I actually keep thinking this is much sooner this is like 120-126hrs out from start still lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bringmesnow1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Small children and dogs could disappear in this one. Potential for two feet of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Small children and dogs could disappear in this one. Potential for two feet of snow. Nice to see you stop by Roger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Y'all, just remember how these storms go. You will continue to see waffling of models for the next 4 days, but we're definitely reaching an inflection point where we raise the ceiling significantly for SE PA. EPS looks great, another huge tick north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Newman said: Y'all, just remember how these storms go. You will continue to see waffling of models for the next 4 days, but we're definitely reaching an inflection point where we raise the ceiling significantly for SE PA. EPS looks great, another huge tick north Always appreciate your professional views!! Thanks for your thoughts even though you are no longer in the area!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Nice to see you stop by Roger I've been searching for our missing two feet of snow. Last three winters we maxed out at 27" snow on ground, the max so far this winter is 5 inches (now a frozen three). Somebody must have our snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 57 minutes ago, hazwoper said: First system I felt strongly enough to come on and discuss in a LONG while. hello all!! Welcome back haz! I know Steve will be grabbing a whopper in your honor if the models continue in this direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, hazwoper said: First system I felt strongly enough to come on and discuss in a LONG while. hello all!! I will head out tomorrow and get a Whopper on Whopper Wednesday in honor of your return! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I know all of our focus has been on tracking this event, but does everyone realize it’s only 5 degrees outside right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: I know all of our focus has been on tracking this event, but does everyone realize it’s only 5 degrees outside right now This is a true arctic airmass. I’m in Killington, VT currently. Wind chill got down to -20 on the mountain today. Not staying till the weekend but Saturday could get wind chills near -30. Just insane how cold it’s been, especially when you remember we’re technically still in a La Niña. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago Well, the GFS has been crap for years now, so the fact that it was last to shift north has me excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 56 minutes ago Author Share Posted 56 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Well, the GFS has been crap for years now, so the fact that it was last to shift north has me excited. The MRF (the gfs before it was renamed gfs) was the last to come North with the heavy banding in '96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: I know all of our focus has been on tracking this event, but does everyone realize it’s only 5 degrees outside right now Are you in Jamison? I'm seeing 14 degrees. 12° here. Jamison, PA / Weather 14°F Tuesday 8:29 PM Clear Google Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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