January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[Eskimo Joe]

The 12z "traditional" Euro EPS really upped the ante for Philly. Several double digit hits, and only a few duds (less than 3"). Out of 50 members, I only count 11% (6 members) with less than 3" of snow. Everything else is warning level or better. Again, what a signal from Dr. No at this range.

 

 

[anthonyweather]

GFS follows ensembles and comes aboard.. Choo choo

 

[JTA66]

Lighter accumulations on the 18z GFS, but better than what it $hite out at 12z 

[anthonyweather]

Ill beat Facebook map man to it

[Duca892]

GFS really is out to lunch lmfao. I should learn this by now. How does a model go from literally nothing to warning level snowfall in 1 run

[Albedoman]

10 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

GFS really is out to lunch lmfao. I should learn this by now. How does a model go from literally nothing to warning level snowfall in 1 run

MY reasoning why: as more  w pac data finally gets ingested into the GFS since it is hamstrung on obtaining reliable data for baja Ca/4 corner lows and when the LP will be ejected out to arklatex area

[Newman]

GEFS another tick north, 0.6" QPF up to southern Berks and Lehigh. 0.7" into Philly.

[tcutter]

2 minutes ago, Newman said:

GEFS another tick north, 0.6" QPF up to southern Berks and Lehigh. 0.7" into Philly.

Would be nice to see another tick or two

[JTA66]

It’s only Tuesday, we don’t want large swings. Subtle ticks from now until week’s end is fine.