Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27

[Prue11]

It’s wishful thinking but hoping with the right trend and storm maybe I can break my 28” storm record Sunday which occurred February 2013

[Tatamy]

Euro AI is a big hit across the area.

[Prue11]

5 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Euro AI is beautiful 

Central Virginia is in a good spot right now

[SACRUS]

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

1/21 00Z Total QPF

ICON: 0.9 - 1.0    (12z hold)
GGEM: 1.0 - 1.1 (12z increase slight)
GFS: 0.9 - 1.0  (12Z increase)
GFS AIFS: 0.7 - 0.8  (12z increase)
UKMET: 0.9 - 1.1 (12z Hold)  
GEFS: 0.7 - 0.8 (12z / 18z increase)
Euro AI AIFS: 0.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Updated

[Franklin0529]

Euro gonna be more amped this time. I don't think ukie or CMC like though

[brooklynwx99]

euro is a monster hit

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Central Virginia is in a good spot right now

I think they're going to see a lot more mixing

[Nibor]

[Franklin0529]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

euro is a monster hit

Really amped. Mixing issues Brooklyn?

[brooklynwx99]

3 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Really amped. Mixing issues Brooklyn?

after like a foot of snow, yeah lmao

[Franklin0529]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

after like a foot of snow, yeah lmao

Yea. All big storms always usually do mix at some point around here

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I don't poke into this thread often but I think NYC peeps should be pretty stoked on this storm!

[samdman95]

anyone have the euro clown maps?

[eduggs]

The 0z Euro looks a lot like the UKMET.

[SACRUS]

 

00Z Euro

 

[Snowlover11]

Euro

[SACRUS]

 

 

 

 

[SACRUS]

[psv88]

Wow. From southern slider to coastal hugger. Yikes!

[SACRUS]

 

00Z Euro Total Storm QPF

 

[psv88]

3 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Primary goes to Ottawa

[NEG NAO]

what happened to those huge snowfall amounts down south ? This shift north was too extreme and too sudden IMO - I wouldn't be surprised if this shifts a few miles south again in the coming days.

 

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

1/21 00Z Total QPF

ICON: 0.9 - 1.0    (12z hold)
GGEM: 1.0 - 1.1 (12z increase slight)
GFS: 0.9 - 1.0  (12Z increase)
GFS AIFS: 0.7 - 0.8  (12z increase)
UKMET: 0.9 - 1.1 (12z Hold)  
GEFS: 0.7 - 0.8 (12z / 18z increase)
Euro: 1.1 (12Z Increase)
Euro AI AIFS: 0.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Updated all models with at least a solid hit

[eduggs]

With a full phase there's nothing to stop a primary surface low from tracking to southern Ontario. The mid-level lows are well west of us. Several EPS members were even more amped than the 0z ECM OP. On tonight's runs this is starting to look like a supercharged SWFE. I'm really curious if this keeps trending in the same direction or adjusts back in the opposite direction with a less-clean phase. I prefer the longer-duration event where we stay on the cold side even if it means less QPF.

[allgame830]

2 minutes ago, eduggs said:

With a full phase there's nothing to stop a primary surface low from tracking to southern Ontario. The mid-level lows are well west of us. Several EPS members were even more amped than the 0z ECM OP. On tonight's runs this is starting to look like a supercharged SWFE. I'm really curious if this keeps trending in the same direction or adjusts back in the opposite direction with a less-clean phase. I prefer the longer-duration event where we stay on the cold side even if it means less QPF.

Could be just a minor over correction to the north. 

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, eduggs said:

With a full phase there's nothing to stop a primary surface low from tracking to southern Ontario. The mid-level lows are well west of us. Several EPS members were even more amped than the 0z ECM OP. On tonight's runs this is starting to look like a supercharged SWFE. I'm really curious if this keeps trending in the same direction or adjusts back in the opposite direction with a less-clean phase. I prefer the longer-duration event where we stay on the cold side even if it means less QPF.

agreed plus less QPF will mean colder temps and ratio's higher to compensate for less QPF

[SACRUS]

North with the 1 inch line

 

[nycwinter]

22 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Yea. All big storms always usually do mix at some point around here

2010 christmas day after blizzard jan 2016 blizzard did not

[Franklin0529]

Just now, nycwinter said:

2010 christmas day after blizzard jan 2016 blizzard did not

January 96 an pd2 did