Wxbear25 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 the NAM SHOULD be an improvement over 6z, the s/w is flatter over the ARKLATEX region, so it should help to dampen the strengthening of the initial low... But then again, I thought 00z was an improvement early on too, so yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 the NAM SHOULD be an improvement over 6z, the s/w is flatter over the ARKLATEX region, so it should help to dampen the strengthening of the initial low... But then again, I thought 00z was an improvement early on too, so yeah...It's a big improvement . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Going to flip to sleet between 2 and 3pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Hmm wait mix line went back south at 21z! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM will be a much better initial thump before sleet - a lot more QPF overall too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The NAM is improved. Mix line stalls South of the city. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, Nibor said: Someone along the 84 corridor is gonna get over 20” I’m thinking 12-18” up this way along 84. I’m sure there will be a few 20+ spots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hmm wait mix line went back south at 21z! It will be a Sleet Line Tango tomorrow folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Not sure what to make of that. 540 line actually went north a bit but mix is way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That's a really big thump on the nam before any mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NYC stays in the teens on the Nam on Sunday. Mix line stays below NYC. Over a foot of snow 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 00z Monday, still all snow from NYC North. Mixing gets into SI and Southern Brooklyn but it’s very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Not sure what to make of that. 540 line actually went north a bit but mix is way south I can’t get Pivotal to load right now. Is the 3K NAM similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: I can’t get Pivotal to load right now. Is the 3K NAM similar? More mixing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: NYC stays in the teens on the Nam on Sunday. Mix line stays below NYC. Over a foot of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 12z NAM total QPF Total snow / sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Warmest panel is 03z. Sleet briefly into NYC, then dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 overall Nam looks way better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 At least the Nam held serve ,,,,,actually it looked better as bigger thump of snow up front and the mix line stopped moving north,,,,,,,qpf improved also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Much better run - still going to be a huge drop off somewhere around central NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Wow was not expecting that on the NAM good run. Watching out west on that run you can see the storm seemingly being pushed east faster which may help with the primary. Fast flow to the rescue? Forky right yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Everything faster. 3k has us close to 6 by 1pm with a flip soon after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Good to see the NAM get slightly colder and bump the QPF up. With the heavy snow burst to start it should work to hold the warm air back a little at 750-800mb that would flip us over. I don’t think it’s a coincidence the lighter QPF models also flipped us quicker. Becoming a little more confident at least the northern parts of NYC/LI and toward I-80 get the higher end of 8-12”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: At least the Nam held serve ,,,,,actually it looked better as bigger thump of snow up front and the mix line stopped moving north,,,,,,,qpf improved also If the coastal is stronger like the GFS has been showing for days the mix line won't get north of the Monmouth cty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, jm1220 said: Good to see the NAM get slightly colder and bump the QPF up. With the heavy snow burst to start it should work to hold the warm air back a little at 750-800mb that would flip us over. I don’t think it’s a coincidence the lighter QPF models also flipped us quicker. Becoming a little more confident at least the northern parts of NYC/LI and toward I-80 get the higher end of 8-12”. Yup the more intense the precip the more it'll fight back against mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 barely any sleet on the nam New York City and north! Snows well into Monday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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