1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

[AMZ8990]

January 23-25, 2026 Winter Storm thread.  Things are heating up so we decided to go ahead and make a dedicated thread to this upcoming winter threat.  Appreciate everyone’s input 

[John1122]

That Euro run may be the best of the whole winter and for this storm. Everything went about as well as possible today on modeling. The worst runs from each model got better. If this plays out remotely like it's modeled, it will join the ranks of all time storms here. Be it the heavy ice solutions or the heavy snow solutions.

[John1122]

I've said for years that we used to get 15-20 inch snows here every decade or so, sometimes a couple of times a decade, and that eventually we'd get another one. I can't imagine this actually comes to pass but dang, it would be one of those old school monsters.

[tnweathernut]

5 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I've said for years that we used to get 15-20 inch snows here every decade or so, sometimes a couple of times a decade, and that eventually we'd get another one. I can't imagine this actually comes to pass but dang, it would be one of those old school monsters.

I was thinking the same thing, John.  Very reminiscent of some of the old school systems from way back in the day....

[GBOVolz]

Not everyone agrees with a SE solution. These guys are in the Ohio Valley region, so maybe this is Clickbait for their subscribers.





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[AMZ8990]

5 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I've said for years that we used to get 15-20 inch snows here every decade or so, sometimes a couple of times a decade, and that eventually we'd get another one. I can't imagine this actually comes to pass but dang, it would be one of those old school monsters.

It would definitely be a sight to see!  Needless to say I-40 would not want to be your preferred route of travel if this were to come to pass.  

[John1122]

Whatever BAM weather says, the opposite is usually good to go. 

[AMZ8990]

1 minute ago, GBOVolz said:

Not everyone agrees with a SE solution. These guys are in the Ohio Valley region, so maybe this is Clickbait for their subscribers.





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I saw one last night from one of the YouTube weather guys and he was beating the same drum.  

[Daniel Boone]

3 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:

Not everyone agrees with a SE solution. These guys are in the Ohio Valley region, so maybe this is Clickbait for their subscribers.





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That was based on last nights Run. I wonder if Today's will change their Tune.

[Scottie16]

Didn’t see a thread ooops’





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[GBOVolz]

That was based on last nights Run. I wonder if Today's will change their Tune.

I don’t know, but the tweet they made was just like 10 minutes ago. It may be that they’re avoiding today’s mods lol


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[Scottie16]

I don’t know, but the tweet they made was just like 10 minutes ago. It may be that they’re avoiding today’s mods lol


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Just for clicks


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[Scottie16]

https://x.com/burgwx/status/2013321433670144421?ct=rw-null


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[Daniel Boone]

11 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:

I don’t know, but the tweet they made was just like 10 minutes ago. It may be that they’re avoiding today’s mods lol


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I saw that but, the Runs they showed were yesterday up to the 0Z AI.

[jaxjagman]

24 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:

Not everyone agrees with a SE solution. These guys are in the Ohio Valley region, so maybe this is Clickbait for their subscribers.





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[Scottie16]

Paul correctly called the blizzard of ‘93


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[1234snow]

Eric Webb throws in the analog of the Jan 5-8 1988 snowstorm.

[Daniel Boone]

Tbh, I wouldn't be surprised if it took the Ohio Valley Route based on our Luck. However, if the stronger HP and cold push are relalized like most 12Z Data is showing it'll have to stay further South. 

   Strength and timing of the ejecting Baja LP is a master Key here. Let's watch this closely the next couple Days. If it comes out of the SW strong it's going to want to cut more; the stronger ther more it'll try to cut poleward. 

       If it comes out too soon it'll have a better shot.of cutting before the strong HP press.

[jaxjagman]

26 minutes ago, GBOVolz said:

Not everyone agrees with a SE solution. These guys are in the Ohio Valley region, so maybe this is Clickbait for their subscribers.





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He agrees with what the Euro is showing ...FWIW

[Scottie16]

Tbh, I wouldn't be surprised if it took the Ohio Valley Route based on our Luck. However, if the stronger HP and cold push are relaxed like most 12Z Data is showing it'll have to stay further South. 
   Strength and timing of the ejecting Baja LP is a master Key here. Let's watch this closely the next couple Days. If it comes out of the SW strong it's going to want to cut more; the stronger ther more it'll try to cut poleward. 
       If it comes out too soon it'll have a better shot.of cutting before the strong HP press.

Yeah model runs have been to consistent really at some point we’re going to see a change. Just hope it’s a good one for us.


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[Daniel Boone]

3 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

He agrees with what the Euro is showing ...FWIW

That was the 0Z Euro he was agreeing to.

[Daniel Boone]

21 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:

https://x.com/burgwx/status/2013321433670144421?ct=rw-null


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Better hope not a Presidents Day 2003 Deal unless you like Flooding. We were all on the warm side of that one.

[Daniel Boone]

15 minutes ago, 1234snow said:

Eric Webb throws in the analog of the Jan 5-8 1988 snowstorm.

That was a cold Storm. Heaviest Southern Valley into North and South Carolina..broad aerial coverage. 7 inches at my house near Pennington gap then. Over a Foot southern Forum.

[Weatheriscool]

52 minutes ago, John1122 said:

I've said for years that we used to get 15-20 inch snows here every decade or so, sometimes a couple of times a decade, and that eventually we'd get another one. I can't imagine this actually comes to pass but dang, it would be one of those old school monsters.

I am good for the season with this one system 

[Scottie16]

I am good for the season with this one system 

Welllll… this may not be the only one we are tracking. Carver may need a new coffee machine for the upcoming weeks.


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[Reb]

Can we pin this thread please?

[Weatheriscool]

Weather channel has me back at 1 to 3 for Friday night 5 to 8 for Saturday and 3 to 5 for Saturday night. Been a decade or more since I have seen that much in middle TN

[Scottie16]

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[Reb]

Zone area forecast for Seymour from MRX. Hang it on the wall.

 

[AMZ8990]

15 minutes ago, Reb said:

Can we pin this thread please?

Yes, Mr Bob should have it pinned soon.  He usually does it pretty quickly after a thread goes up.

 

@Mr Bob