John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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It didn't rain yesterday, a rarity, but it looks like it's about to start now.
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- grieving winter
- hoping for sunshine
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Long range modeling is well into meteorological spring now. Things also get pretty quiet in here beyond winter, so probably not a huge need for monthly threads for a while. That said, we are coming out of a huge flooding/rain event and the GFS is showing a possible return to those conditions. The 16 day rain total, from 00z shows 10-12 inches falling over the period. So the extremely wet patten looks to continue. There may or may not be a brief cold shot in the early month period and there could be a winter threat in there, though obviously have to be heavily skeptical of it. After that, if we can believe the weeklies, warmth is back for the remainder of March.
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This is just from yesterday, it rained 1.5 inches on Wednesday. I'm at 9.14 inches for July already.
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- grieving winter
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Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There is a large Indiana bat cave near Jellico but I've never seen it affect a radar image before. -
I believe we've only had 2 or maybe 3 days without rain since June 25th here.
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- grieving winter
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2.88 inches of rain so far today with more coming. Flooding is widespread, had a rock slide on the interstate at mm 142. Tons of street and creek flooding in the area as well. Several roads are impassible. Some 5+ inch 24 hour rains showing up over Campbell and Claiborne.
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- grieving winter
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Getting blitzed again today with more flooding. It's been pouring for the better part 2 hours. Another 1.75 inches down today. Raining hard at the moment.
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Pulled off 2 days without rain, but it just rained 1.5 inches in 45 minutes and caused more flooding in the area.
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I don't know if there's any correlation but off the top of my head, winters are not all that memorable for snow lovers after very wet summers. 89 was a wet summer and we had the frigid December but the rest of winter was blah. Last year was exceptionally wet, also blah winter if you weren't close to the NC border and it wasn't great for people there, just better than for the rest of us. These days it seems like adjusting expectations downward regarding snow/ice/cold works much better than looking at anything in the past. Past analogs for last year were pretty bullish, but we fell in the 25 percent of the analogs where winter wasn't memorable, rather than the 75 percent that it was. My particular area used to be pretty steady in that we'd get 10+ inches every year, always at least one solid 4-6 inch snowfall. Now we are in boom/bust for the last 15 years or so. We either get 25+ inches or less than 10 without a lot of middle ground. I just have to go with that we are in a new climate reality and that the past doesn't reflect the future as much as it once might've.
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- grieving winter
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It has rained here at least some every day in July except one, including 2.4 inches today. Already at 4.56 inches for the month. It's like living in Central Florida.
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- grieving winter
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It's stormed 3 of the first 4 days of July so far, so the wet pattern seems to be holding tight. The cloud to ground lighting has been intense the last few days, started multiple fires.
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- grieving winter
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Well no sooner do I post that total and think that's it for June, a storm drops out of Kentucky and it's coming a downpour here.
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Well, going to finish the month at 16.84 inches of rain. Looking typically hot and humid for the next week, but at least days are getting shorter. Seems like after 4th of July week summer fades fast these days, maybe not weather wise, but football related things kick into high gear and I can take the heat better with football going.
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Almost non moving thunderstorm over Campbell County for the last 3 hours. Wide spread power outages again and more flooding. 3-4 inches of rain in the last few hours over parts of the area. Been raining heavily here for over 2 hours as well. Right at 2 inches of rain, closing in on 17 inches for June.
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Definitely juice for the storms that are starting to pop out there. Currently 80 degrees with a DP of 73. Tornado warning popped in Eastern Ky.
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Really hope we can catch a break with the storms tomorrow. This has been the year of downed trees. Ground is extra saturated from non-stop rain and tree loss is increased significantly in these severe thunderstorms.
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About 57 inches a year. Last year we had 76.45 inches which is the most I've seen here. My grandfather recorded 75.5 in 1954. Currently on pace for around 90-95 this year unless things slow down. Already closing in on 50 inches for 2019.
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- grieving winter
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Another inch in the rain gauge from the storm last night and the storms today. 14.30 inches so far in June.
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- grieving winter
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Powerful storms here and I imagine across the area. Virtually all of Campbell Co is without power right now. Trees are down everywhere. One fell on a car as it was driving. Just a fast moving bull dozer. It made it across the county in 10 minutes.
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Saw a video of the Rutledge Pike area, looked like a rain wrapped tornado there. Extremely strong rotation for sure.
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Crazy how rainy this year is so far. I'm sitting here at 13+ inches for June as the rain pounds down outside right now. It was already the wettest winter into spring on record for most of us. I am approaching 45 inches for the year already. We are either going to break a record or have a drought at this rate, not much middle ground.
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- grieving winter
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Managed to bottom out at 44 degrees this morning. Must have gotten a chill in my sleep because I dreamed it was snowing. Had several people say they turned their heat on and many were wearing jackets.
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Really can't beat this on a bright sunny day at 5:00 pm in Mid June.
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- grieving winter
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More training extremely heavy rains going right now over the area. Around 1 inch of rain in the last hour with some heavy echos still to come. First was was just very heavy rain about 45 minutes ago, current wave is heavy rain with thunder.
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- grieving winter
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It has went from early mid 90s a few weeks ago to being 59 with rain today at 1 in the afternoon the week before solar summer begins.
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- grieving winter
- hoping for sunshine
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