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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. No, it was the winter where the last two weeks of February and the first week of March was pretty wintry for the entire forum for the most part. It was capped off by the blizzard in West Tennessee in early March. It was brutally cold every where once that February arctic express got rolling. I had 15 inches of snow, 4 inches of sleet and and two ice storms in a 20 day stretch. It snowed on top of snow 5 times. Which isn't common for the area most years.
  2. 14-15 was a weak El Nino but is noted for not having the precip patterns of a typical El Nino.
  3. Don't have to go back very far to find the record dry September in the area. In 2014 Knox had .19 inches of rain, BNA had .21 inches. Memphis had 4.75 inches for the month but 4.45 of that fell in one day, .27 another and the other 28 days of the month were mostly rain free. Temps were around 3 degrees AN for the month. So not as hot as this month has been but still warm. October was much wetter at about 2x the average rainfall, with temps near or below normal across the area. November was cold and dry that year with about 50 percent of normal precip.
  4. 18z GFS was much wetter valley wide that run. 2-4 inches over the next 16 days.
  5. I don't understand how Hurricanes keep recurving but temps stay sky high and the weather stays dry. It's odd that the troughs that turn them are hot/dry weather producers. We did have some rain and storms a few days ago. But it has been fairly dry and Sept may actually be our first month of the year without AN precip. Shouldn't be significant fire danger here though, no brown grass or anything like that here.
  6. Long range modeling is well into meteorological spring now. Things also get pretty quiet in here beyond winter, so probably not a huge need for monthly threads for a while. That said, we are coming out of a huge flooding/rain event and the GFS is showing a possible return to those conditions. The 16 day rain total, from 00z shows 10-12 inches falling over the period. So the extremely wet patten looks to continue. There may or may not be a brief cold shot in the early month period and there could be a winter threat in there, though obviously have to be heavily skeptical of it. After that, if we can believe the weeklies, warmth is back for the remainder of March.
  7. It was too rainy here to be hot this summer, but plenty of heat this month so far. We did avoid the worst of it yesterday with a thunderstorm that fired up in the early afternoon.
  8. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Rained just about all day long with a high temp of 67, felt sort of fallish out there. Picked up .57 today with the rain mostly moving out of the area.
  9. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    After Thursday rains, Friday rains and storms and some overnight rain, at 4.48 inches of rain for August. Normal is about 4.1 inches. Decent chances of rain today, tomorrow and tomorrow night as well. Model models are spitting out another 1-1.5 inches in my area from now til September 1st. I've had more than 6 inches of rain every month in 2019 so far. Will see if August can keep that up. My only near normal month was May and I average right at 6 inches in May though. Average is 4.05 in Sept and goes down to 3.3 in October. In November it heads back close to 6 inches on average.
  10. Had some rain again Thursday and big rains Friday that caused a 2 hour delay for the local HS football game from a thunderstorm that just crept across the area, it took those two hours for it to move 20 miles. Had additional showers over night and a rainy week is upcoming by the way things look. August is AN for precip here, as has every month of the year to date been AN except for May, which was right at normal. There's nothing remotely dry about lawns or anything else imby. Was talking to someone from Cocke County (that's who Campbell County played Friday night) and they said their yard was turning brown though and that they'd had hardly any rain since July. I am not really sure how or why SE Kentucky is in the drought monitor tbh, they have areas there in drought that were 5-8 inches AN for precip in June and 3-4 inches AN in July according to AHPS precipitation maps. It's not like they've gotten no rain in August either in those areas.
  11. If I remember correctly the only thing they had in common was the last massive severe thunderstorm that produced a major flash flood in the LaFollette area also happened that summer of 1993. It wasn't as wide spread as the big storm earlier this summer, but a smaller area got over 2 inches of rain in about 20 minutes in early July one evening. It put several city blocks under 3 or 4 feet of water. The big storm earlier this year was over a bigger area and had 6-8 inches of rain over a couple hours. It was notable in my mind for wind because it blew down a lot of trees here. Like 20-30 large oak trees. I got rain but not as heavy as LaFollette. It was just an extremely hot afternoon where a big storm popped up and got violent for that 20-30 minutes. It's the strongest wind event I've seen to this day. I'm certain it's just a coincidence though that two big pop up flooding storms happened that year and this one. The warm season weather pattern that year and this one are not at all similar here. That winter of 1993 was warm though. Until late February, we had 4 inches of snow the last few days of Feb 1993, then of course the blizzard two weeks later.
  12. Sumner of 1993 was very dry and very hot. July 1993 was over 90 all but 2 days of the month in Knoxville, with multiple days between 96-100, and those two days below 90 it was 89. Only rained about 2 inches in both June and July.
  13. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Didn't end up nearly as hot today as predicted because it stormed around 11am. Had another round of very heavy rain this evening just before sunset. At 3.31 for August now. Which seems almost dry compared to most months this year.
  14. John1122

    Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018-19

    Noticed some big cells in Middle Valley areas. Heavy rain here right now but just a rumble or two of thunder every 4 or 5 minutes so far. Looks like Nashville is getting some flooding too. Looks like cells in Eastern Arkansas might reach West Tennessee. At least the heat may break there. The H.I in Memphis is 111 and 112 in Jackson with an 80 degree dp.
  15. Figures the radar would be out and a severe threat would pop up. Also take it easy in West Tennessee, saw that the HI could close in on 120 in the Western Valley.
  16. I'm amazingly dry this month compared to the last few at only slightly above normal for the month to date so far. Take a look at this warm season -NAO stretch. Probably the longest negative summer stretch since 2012-2013.
  17. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Had a few heavier showers this morning. Turned out to be a pretty nice but humid day today.
  18. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    .91 yesterday, 2.31 through 4 days in August, looks dry for today with more rain returning soon.
  19. We are in some form of tropical monsoon pattern and it's seemingly never going to end. I would welcome lower humidity but it seems like early fall has been hard to come by lately.
  20. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Looks like the mid-state is getting some heavy rain out there too. Lots of thunder with mine earlier, which I always enjoy hearing, but the thunder moved out and now it's just moderate rain falling.
  21. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    76.45 which was last year. It's currently pouring down right now as a complex of storms has fired on the NE Plateau.
  22. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Had some windy storms this evening. Broke a power pole and knocked power out all over the mountain here. Picked up .74 inches of rain today and this evening. 1.38 after 2 days in August. If we can get any cold this winter and this precip pipeline continues maybe we can land some decent snows across the Valley region at some point this winter.
  23. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    The daily thunderstorm has fired up, we will see how much rain it drops.
  24. John1122

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Ended July at 14.96 inches of rain for the month. It stormed a few minutes ago and earlier yesterday too, so at .64 already for August. Over 63 inches on the year imby.
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