John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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This is like ground hog day, just got back from town. Minor street flooding until 1/4th mile from my road, then dry and dusty with sunshine at my house.
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Thought I was going to get another soaker but it collapsed about 1/4th mile from my house and then re-intensified about a mile past my house. Barely sprinkled at my house. Heavy standing water close by on either side as a drove to town.
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1.2 inches from that storm in about 45 minutes.
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Finally getting a truly heavy heavy storm myself.
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Another major thunder event with no rain underway right now, as the second storm of the day developed a few miles S of my area. All the loud thunder and none of the rain, so far. I'm not sure why these storms are so small in area. Every day here they are just 3 or 4 miles across, and they rain very hard where they hit but fizzle out a few minutes later. In all my days of watching popup summer storms I don't ever remember this many that were so small in size, day after day. They usually blossom up and cover nearly a whole county.
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Had another heavy shower today. It rained .3 inches in about ten minutes.
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This shower has finally been actully heavy and it's been going for around 40 minutes now.
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Mostly misses again today but it rained for about 20 minutes around 4 and it's raining now. Looks like Johnson City got swamped.
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The miss miss miss pattern with rain from last week is holding strong again this week with 60 percent rain coverage being closer to 10 percent in reality. Only the extremely rainy May is keeping me from drought conditions. It's rained about .25 inches in the last three weeks. I truly hope that changes before long, if not, it's going to be a long fire season in my area.
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Got about ten minutes of a shower it turned out.
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Wondering if it's going to be another week of rain all around me but not here like the last high chance week. Today it's going that way. It's been thundering since 2pm all around me but not a drop of rain yet. One of the strangest patterns I've ever seen, because the pop-up storms are so small. Just 3 or 4 miles wide in most cases.
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I ended up with .24 inches this whole last week.
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Happened again yesterday. A very heavy shower a mile or two away and nothing here. Today a storm has popped up a couple miles north of me. Loud thunder but unlikely to rain it appears.
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Man, it just happened again. Big storm just split and collapsed around me.
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It's been incredible to see how the rain and storms have danced around my area this week. Only caught a few passing sprinkles as storms fired close and died out as they reached me. The high rain chances for today and tomorrow have faded too.
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Actually made it to 91.5 today here at the house. Tomorrow may be warmer unless a storm develops. It clouded up some in the afternoon here and the temp fell into the mid-80s by 4pmish.
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I saw this several days ago and I'm not exactly clear what the numbers on it meant. For instance is shows 97 across the north slope and highs were in the 40s. But it has it's first ever heat advisory, because they used SPS before this year, and it was for 85 degrees, not 110.
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Three miles, 10 minutes and 600 feet elevation difference.
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I was in Chattanooga/Hixson this weekend. It was 98 degrees at my brother's house earlier this afternoon. I arrived back here at my house around 4:45 to 85.4.
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It seems to come a tropical downpour here around every 2 or 3 hours, all day and all night and that forecast looks to hold through about Thursday. We may get hot after that, but it's so wet, it's tough to get too hot here. It will take some soil drying to pull it off.
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CPC is leaning warm but also leaning AN precip. That particular combo usually means warm nights but day time temps in control due to rain/storms.
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Just had my daily downpour a few minutes ago. I'd like a little sun for my tomatoes and to dry the ground a little.
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Looking at the 30 day forecast for the month of June on accuweather, it shows there being virtually no days above 82 the entire month after the first few days. I think it's derived from the Euro longe range products. I'd normally dismiss it as bluster but it nailed the cool May forecast from mid to late April. It had very few days with highs above 80 this month with several periods of 60s and low 70s, and thats how it played out.
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Looks like the cool part will close out this week. 6-10 day and 8-14 favor AN temps but it looks like it may remain wet.
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Do you think they are actual oscillations still? I saw/read the study and articles stating they aren't since they can't be simulated by climate models without factoring in external forces such as volcanoes and greenhouse gasses, but climate models do simulate ENSO correctly without any other input. The fellow who first used the term AMO now says he was wrong and that it doesn't exist, as an oscillation, nor does the PDO.
