John1122

Do you think they are actual oscillations still? I saw/read the study and articles stating they aren't since they can't be simulated by climate models without factoring in external forces such as volcanoes and greenhouse gasses, but climate models do simulate ENSO correctly without any other input. The fellow who first used the term AMO now says he was wrong and that it doesn't exist, as an oscillation, nor does the PDO.

It was 41 here. The high here today has been 64. Pretty impressive for Memorial day.

Hopefully our north Alabama and Nooga area folks are ready to shelter.

Storm blew through earlier. Now it's sunny, hot and humid as all get out. Don't know if we are still in a favorable supercell environment or not. I assume so with the tornado watch.

Storming heavily here with warnings to my south and north.

Tornado warning, Anderson, Knox, Morgan near @Holston_River_Rambler

Looks like the enhanced area expanded again. Still mentions super cells and strong tornadoes, with two rounds of storms.

14 fatalities so far in the Somerset/London area. I have a friend in the area and all the windows were blown out of their house and the roof lifted off, but they were unharmed.

Multiple fatalities reported in London, KY area.

Tornado warning for Southern Valley, headed towards @TellicoWx potentially. Very wrapped up cell, rotating on radar that broke out from the line.

Heavy rain and stout wind here but no tornado thankfully.

One of the tornadoes hit the London/Corbin Airport and destroyed the medivac helicopter. I read that this is being considered a mass casualty event in Somerset.

There's another tornado warning just west of Somerset, moving its way at 70mph.

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/14ukssL7gD/ Video of the tornado in Somerset.

The warning sounds pretty grim. Decently populated area around London plus it's crossing the interstate.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service JACKSON KY 1118 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 KYC121-125-199-203-170400- /O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-250517T0400Z/ Laurel KY-Knox KY-Pulaski KY-Rockcastle KY- 1118 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FOR LAUREL...NORTHWESTERN KNOX...EAST CENTRAL PULASKI AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROCKCASTLE COUNTIES... At 1118 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Mount Victory, or 13 miles east of Somerset, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Bunch around 1125 PM EDT. Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include Bernstadt, London, Levi Jackson S.P. and Lida. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornado on the ground just blew through Somerset and is going to pass about a county north of me. It is a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado per the warning. It's in @Kentucky backyard. Hope he's okay.

The watch graphic says 80mph wind and 2 inch hail possible. I could definitely do without either of those.

These straight line severe winds events are the worst severe scenario here as a rule. MRX noted they are often more damaging than the tornadoes that hit the area. They are definitely on a larger scale.

I keep seeing on social media that our region is in a significant risk area on Friday. But I don't know as much about severe as you guys. So not sure if it's true. This is one of several I've seen on there.

This rain streamer is like a tropical storm band. Street flooding in the area from it.

Been getting rocked this evening. Had some quarter sized hail earlier and another storm underway now.

Last year it was in the mid 80s around this timeframe. In 2023 we had highs in the upper 50s and lows in the lower 30s the first week of May. It varies wildly at times this time of year.

It's not much warmer at just after 1pm today.

45 and steady moderate rain this morning. We get a few May days like this every year or two.