John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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With the Euro AI starting the current score card = GFS/AIGFS somewhat suppressed. GEFS middle ground. ICON/Canadian/UKIE amped.
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The UKIE did run on Pivotal but somehow crashed off after I'd seen it already. 12+ over the midstate. The pivotal map may include sleet on the 10:1, not sure.
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Apparently I somehow clicked on 00z and thought it was 12z.
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The AIGFS has about 50 percent more QPF than the GFS imby. .51 on the GFS, .90 on the AI.
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update to the update. I did see the 12z UKIE but it crashed off Pivitol and has restarted. update, mistakenly looked at the 0z. The UKIE is an amped up QPF giant that has a too big warm nose up the Apps. It's know for thermal issues. Still snows well over a foot in places, especially middle Tennessee.
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GFS OP vs GEFS. The GEFS is similar to yesterday and has been consistent. The GFS Op was dry (relatively) like this at 12z yesterday, 18z too I think.
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30s/10s for the week after Jan 1996. Even colder after the Feb 2nd 1996 massive winter storm that this one reminds me of. After the blizzard it was very cold for March, but only for a day after it departed. By 3/16 it was back in the upper 40s.
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The wild sleet totals Carver's referenced. Talk about a block of ice.
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GEFS once again in major disagreement with its OP. When it did this yesterday, the OP then corrected (probably over corrected) back towards the OP. Through 120 the GEFS has around double the QPF across our area vs the GFS OP.
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That was a potent arctic front, we had cold air in place ahead of it, which caused freezing rain, the front raced through the precip shield there was a burst of heavy snow, but areas along 40 stayed zr longer. There was about an inch or so of frozen qpf total. It was faster than this system overall.
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13z NBM ice. Bad across the Southern Valley but not world ending. I assume there's also sleet accumulations in there somewhere.
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Do you mean Jan of 1994?
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13z NBM after the 12z suite was ingested I assume.
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That GFS run would break snowfall records in every southern state except Tennessee.
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Crazy sleet totals on the Canadian that run. I would love to see the sleet accumulation maps over the region.
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The Canadian has slightly better thermals but still major ice issues along and south of 40.
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Of course it's also having issues being released. But literally just day after day of snow across Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina.
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Please let the GFS be its normal garbage self here. I can't take watching the deep south get 2 feet while we get 6-8 inches.
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It's going to end up decent for most, but nothing in the ball pack of what the potential is for this event.
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Unfortunately, if true, snow won't be either for a good portion of the board.
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Yep, complete disaster run there if true.
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This GFS run is likely going to be way different than the last two.
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GFS is leaning back into its south look from yesterday.
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Well as soon as I posted that, the next two frames came and it essentially caught up with the 06, and is a little big larger with the snow shield on the north side.
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The GFS looks slower with the precip at 12z as well.
