The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: If that's H5 AC...IIRC 0.50 is getting around d10 with the ops. yea they seemed extremely low to me as well, thats why i have no idea, but its gonna be pretty far out there. Usually EC what was D3 or so was usually around .90? I haven't checked in a while. you have a resource for verification scores? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 West trend ends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, CoastalWx said: West trend ends Tics East begin? Glad today is snowy out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: West trend ends still think euro ticks W/NW but it was the farthest offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Probably get a nice CCB that goes bonkers just in time to get the Cape. Going to be a heavy, wet snow there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2-4 for me and brett 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Yea you want to be south/east with this. The trailing vort is a kicker that inhibits the latitude gain of the CCB.. Eastern LI, southeastern MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 2-4 for me and brett I’d call 3-6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 AIGFS solid bump NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: yea they seemed extremely low to me as well, thats why i have no idea, but its gonna be pretty far out there. Usually EC what was D3 or so was usually around .90? I haven't checked in a while. you have a resource for verification scores? Not offhand....they always seem to be moving the link for those scores. I think the die off for 0.90 was up around d5 now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: West trend ends Did see a modest jog west on 12z AIGFS, bump up from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3-6 River west and 4-8 River East 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I’d call 3-6” I meant on gfs factoring in temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Got my 5th 1/4" snowfall of the season today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 If the south voadt can avoud rain, we might do okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 OP GFs sfc kind of escaped east that run so it wasn’t quite as juiced with the main stuff. Still has moderate stuff pretty far west though. It actually might have trended slightly better over interior while being a bit worse for coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: OP GFs sfc kind of escaped east that run so it wasn’t quite as juiced with the main stuff. Still has moderate stuff pretty far west though. It actually might have trended slightly better over interior while being a bit worse for coast. Was basically a wash for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, ORH_wxman said: OP GFs sfc kind of escaped east that run so it wasn’t quite as juiced with the main stuff. Still has moderate stuff pretty far west though. It actually might have trended slightly better over interior while being a bit worse for coast. AIGFS was a little west…at this point might be a better idea to go with the machines…since they have led the way imo. Although A blend as usual is always a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Canadian ticked west. Really nice look for SE MA on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3-6 River west and 4-8 River East I'd take that but have a feeling wor folks are seeing showers instead of accumulated snow with this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 24hrs ago it was a whiff basically so not gonna complain about getting a few inches. Seems to develop late (on the gfs anyway) congrats GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Canadian ticked west. Really nice look for SE MA on that run. I'm kind of rooting for the vort to not curl that much and kick out...I feel like if it beefs up, my area is going to end up a bone zone of subsidence...could see the 006z GFS do that, and it made total sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: AIGFS was a little west…at this point might be a better idea to go with the machines…since they have led the way imo. Although A blend as usual is always a good idea. Jerry said that last night, looks like he was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, tavwtby said: I'd take that but have a feeling wor folks are seeing showers instead of accumulated snow with this one This will have a mid level band into NY State . You’re good for 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: Jerry said that last night, looks like he was right. Agreed 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 hours ago, dendrite said: Some of these runs look a hair flatter, but they’re finding a way to get more precip NW. I'm way behind but I reasoned that out yesterday... The diffluent "fan" of the isohypses appears to be sensitive in this case. The more expanded that is toward the NW, the model's been 'filling' more QPF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: OP GFs sfc kind of escaped east that run so it wasn’t quite as juiced with the main stuff. Still has moderate stuff pretty far west though. It actually might have trended slightly better over interior while being a bit worse for coast. A pretty remarkable trend in the last really 12 hours. Loop starts at 18z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: This will have a mid level band into NY State . You’re good for 3-6 What do you mean by NY state? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This will have a mid level band into NY State . You’re good for 3-6 hope so, i do like the H5 look I'm just weary of the kicker on its heels, it'll have to be some good growth to get 3-6 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 hours ago, dendrite said: Last 4 runs of the goofus. More downstream ridging and curling in of that vortmax Yes! to the point/observation I just mentioned, this fits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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