First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us

[MJO812]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Straight to warnings for some later on?

Especially near the SNE coast. Seems like the models strengthen the coastal .

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Straight to warnings for some later on?

I could see warnings for Bristol/Plymouth, with a watch for parts of Cape. If 12z doubles down 

[CoastalWx]

3k is meh.

[tavwtby]

2.5" otg from overnight, picking back up again, maybe we snow all weekend here, need some more NW bumps or precip field expansion I'll take 

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, ariof said:

I mean, 12,000 years ago the ice sheets were still retreating not far into Quebec, the shoreline was further out and there were big glacial lakes to the NW so … I assume this is "given current climate conditions."

I'm sure it was based on Boston's recorded historical snowfall records, so maybe 150 years or so of data?

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

3k is meh.

But an improvement from 06z and 00z last night.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

3k is meh.

Yeah I honestly would like to see the early globals going big (even icon soon). I don’t trust most of those random hires models outside of convective season. 

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Straight to warnings for some later on?

guessing advisories regionwide i dont think theyll go that high

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I honestly would like to see the early globals going big (even icon soon). I don’t trust most of those random hires models outside of convective season. 

i was agreeing with you until you said ICON. 
 

Icon is the new navgem lol

 

my JUNO theory was right, all models went west

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dendrite said:

Yeah I honestly would like to see the early globals going big (even icon soon). I don’t trust most of those random hires models outside of convective season. 

In GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS we confide and those all looked solid at 06z.

[CoastalWx]

RRFS east on that stupid model 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

guessing advisories regionwide i dont think theyll go that high

Yeah idk where he's getting warnings from lol

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

RRFS east on that stupid model 

can you show the clown map

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

can you show the clown map

No my storage is full. Just go to pivotal weather 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

RRFS east on that stupid model 

It is lol, it was a major snowstorm at 6z as the low kissed nantucket, now it fits other hires guidance.. 

[SouthCoastMA]

RRFS and HRRR is a waste of time this far out

[ineedsnow]

10 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I could see warnings for Bristol/Plymouth, with a watch for parts of Cape. If 12z doubles down 

River east if it keeps trending

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

RRFS east on that stupid model 

That model gives me a headache 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

RRFS east on that stupid model 

Ya looks terrible 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

That model gives me a headache 

It blows. Terrible.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Ya looks terrible 

I didn’t say it was terrible, I said it moved a decent jog east. That model sucks.

[The 4 Seasons]

its just not zonked out this run

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i was agreeing with you until you said ICON. 
 

Icon is the new navgem lol

 

my JUNO theory was right, all models went west

Juno what?

Spoiler

 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It blows. Terrible.

The future of American NWP  

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I didn’t say it was terrible, I said it moved a decent jog east. That model sucks.

That model was jacking the Berkshires overnight. Pretty useless more than 24h out. Looks like it’s starting to come back to reality. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

its just not zonked out this run

It seems like its basically just where it place the low. It didn’t look that different 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It blows. Terrible.

Back when the OV was getting that barrage of clippers there were multiple times that model was bringing good snows through Chicago while most other guidance was well south and Chicago ended up getting nada 

[dendrite]

ICON will be more amped.

[dryslot]

Oh boy, oh boy oh boy!

[dendrite]

RGEM should be as well.