Storm potential January 17th-18th

[sussexcountyobs]

3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Their latest forecast map has central Park at 4.4 when all is said and done

Again. Their forecast is 1-3 this afternoon. 1-3 this evening. Forecast range from NWS is 2-6". Average that, and yes, their map says 4". But if you only get 2", that is an accurate snowfall forecast. This is not hard.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, BxEngine said:

Latest forecast map. Go take a jebwalk or something.

With the half inch CPK already received that's 2.5 and well within their 2 to 4 inch forecast 

[NorthShoreWx]

Probably unnecessary to say, but the NWS forecasts the amount of snow that will accumulate in central Park.  They do not attempt to forcast what someone from the observatory will measure.

[BxEngine]

1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Probably unnecessary to say, but the NWS forecasts the amount of snow that will accumulate in central Park.  They do not attempt to forcast what someone from the observatory will measure.

And some here believe that measurements are taken at 42nd and broadway over a subway vent grate. 

[mob1]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

With the half inch CPK already received that's 2.5 and well within their 2 to 4 inch forecast 

The got 2 inches yesterday?

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

With the half inch CPK already received that's 2.5 and well within their 2 to 4 inch forecast 

gotta say that's pretty lame. what exactly are we waiting for? already got around 2 inches or so here in cnj......thought more was expected. whatever, nice weekend. got more good photos.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

gotta say that's pretty lame. what exactly are we waiting for? already got around 2 inches or so here in cnj......thought more was expected. whatever, nice weekend. got more good photos.

That forecast from NWS was additional to what has already fallen.

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

The got 2 inches yesterday?

CPK already has a half inch today. Add that forecasted 2 inches and 2.5 would have fallen. CpK had 1 from yesterday 

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

That forecast from NWS was additional to what has already fallen.

makes sense then. 

[wthrmn654]

47 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

I think it’s going to be location dependent, depending on precipitation type. Looking mostly wet, not white for a large part of LI. Again, location dependent, even on LI

Dude idk where your located but long island deft isn't wet aka meaning rain....

[psv88]

1 hour ago, Rmine1 said:

100% wrong on the no snow on the SS. 
 

however I agree that for most of the island, minus the twin forks, it’s going to be mostly rain. Rates not enough to overcome the warm 

Haha what? It’s been snowing here all day. It’s actually picked up. Roads are still snow covered lol

[mob1]

4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

That forecast from NWS was additional to what has already fallen.

Sounds about right. Even an inch tonight would put them at double digits and about average snowfall for the season to date. After the last few years this feels great, even if it's barely average. 

[snywx]

31 w/ lgt snow 

2” new otg 

[mob1]

Just now, psv88 said:

Haha what? It’s been snowing here all day. It’s actually picked up. Roads are still snow covered lol

Same here, though some neighborhoods I passed in Brooklyn this morning were wet/slushy. 

 

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Sounds about right. Even an inch tonight would put them at double digits and about average snowfall for the season to date. After the last few years this feels great, even if it's barely average. 

Yeah last year and this year shows that cold air alone does not help. 1980s pattern.

[Nibor]

9 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

And some here believe that measurements are taken at 42nd and broadway over a subway vent grate. 

To be fair based on Central Park's measuring track record this could be the case.

[psv88]

3 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Same here, though some neighborhoods I passed in Brooklyn this morning were wet/slushy. 

 

Some people need to go outside before posting weather observations haha

[donsutherland1]

4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Haha what? It’s been snowing here all day. It’s actually picked up. Roads are still snow covered lol

At 1 pm, all the Long Island locations reporting p-type were reporting light snow. Whether the snow is accumulating is a different matter.

[Nibor]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Some people need to go outside before posting weather observations haha

How am I supposed to complain on here if I'm outside in real life?

[doncat]

Had a quick inch here this morning... really just been light last several hours with brief spurts of heavier...just 0.16" le so far.

[lee59]

33.4 light snow here

[NEG NAO]

[EastonSN+]

Radar lighting up in south Jersey

[NorthShoreWx]

7 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

At 1 pm, all the Long Island locations reporting p-type were reporting light snow. Whether the snow is accumulating is a different matter.

Southold (Cutchogue) and Montauk are snowing too per web cams:

Cutchogue:

https://www.suffolksecurity.com/live-osprey-webcam-north-fork-of-long-island

 

Montauk:

 

 

 

[weatherpruf]

56 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Post the 4” forecast thanks.

local media was saying we could get 5....could being the active word....but 3 was more in line. i believe it was wnyc; at the time, around 11 am, it had turned to light sleet; switched back to snow for a bit, but has done nothing notable since, so am hoping for that later burst. but overall, happy with the weekend. 

[Krs4Lfe]

Light snow in Bayside again. Been on and off like this for the past few hours. Radar echoes look better right off the jersey shore. If we get those, then we'll hit our 2-4" target. 

[mob1]

6 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Light snow in Bayside again. Been on and off like this for the past few hours. Radar echoes look better right off the jersey shore. If we get those, then we'll hit our 2-4" target. 

In about 30 minutes, radar went from this...

[allgame830]

13 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Not sure what I’m looking at lol… is that a good thing? 

[mob1]

...to this. Let's see if it continues to expand to our area. 

[ag3]

Tonight will overperform IMO.