Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 25 minutes ago, bncho said: barney is coming to town! Looks like the Blue Norther of 2021. Texas froze and If I remember correctly, The East never got “cold” during that outbreak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: Looks like the Blue Norther of 2021. Texas froze and If I remember correctly, The East never got “cold” during that outbreak. nope - DC was still in the midst of its multi-year streak where it didn't get below 23F. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 0z GFS ensembles starting getting cold around Jan 18th. Anything before that probably isn't going to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I'm starting to worry that the Jan 14-17 window is getting can kicked a bit since the 6-10 day eastern trough is getting less strong and the ridging over it is stronger. But the good news is MJO is starting to curve into 7 around day 15. So the pattern change after the 18th is probably real. Still not counting us out for the mid-Jan system, but there could be temp issues east of the BR. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 WB 6Z EURO. Rainy period on tap for Friday-Sunday. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO. Rainy period on tap for Friday-Sunday. Warm wet, cold dry. We need the rain though. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 17 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO. Rainy period on tap for Friday-Sunday. Let's see if the Euro's rain predictions at this range are as overblown as it's snow predictions at this range. My guess is Yes! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Canada really warms up end of the week due to the jet extension. Some anomalies there over 30 degrees above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 From a trough out west to this...four days of slow positive progress by mid-month 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The ^ is near the time of the elongated PV. moving SE towards Hudson Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 A warm day this Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Nice to see the AO staying negative. - EPO later 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 16 minutes ago, frd said: Nice to see the AO staying negative. - EPO later That should help us later when the PNA goes negative after a brief spike into + territory. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO. Rainy period on tap for Friday-Sunday. Even though it's just rain this time, being able to get a region-wide soaker may not be a bad sign going forward... 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GFS is trying for the midweek thing next week. Surface looks warm if but that southern energy wraps up earlier we have a shot from DC east at least. Thereafter is def intriguing even though we don't have a storm to track yet. PAC and temps are good. Need blocking and southern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, Pityflakes said: GFS is trying for the midweek thing next week. Surface looks warm if but that southern energy wraps up earlier we have a shot from DC east at least. Thereafter is def intriguing even though we don't have a storm to track yet. PAC and temps are good. Need blocking and southern stream energy. You know things are trending in the right direction when there isn’t 2 pages of cliff jumping this morning. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 47 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: You know things are trending in the right direction when there isn’t 2 pages of cliff jumping this morning. Give it time. We still have 43 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 20 minutes ago, anotherman said: Give it time. We still have 43 minutes. They would’ve jumped by now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The CMC was trying even harder than the GFS for 1/15. Was close. Plenty of time for changes better or worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Jan 18 onwards looks cold. Jan 14-15 IMO has the pieces but we need a larger +PNA ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, bncho said: Jan 18 onwards looks cold. Jan 14-15 IMO has the pieces but we need a larger +PNA ridge. The differences between the end of the Gfs and AIGfs runs are beyond laughable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The differences between the end of the Gfs and AIGfs runs are beyond laughable. not really...neither give us snow 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said: You know things are trending in the right direction when there isn’t 2 pages of cliff jumping this morning. Having looked at the GFS...I wouldn't draw that conclusion. ETA - at the end of the run there's cold in Ulaanbaatar. If I remember last year, that means something for us in February or March. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 If you are looking for a long shot window to try and track in the medium range - GEFS ens have a couple of members pop something next Monday/Tuesday behind the weekend system. It's been there on and off on a couple random ensemble runs. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If you are looking for a long shot window to try and track in the medium range - GEFS ens have a couple of members pop something next Monday/Tuesday behind the weekend system. Looks kinda interesting on the OP even if nothing is there on the surface. It's been there on and off on a couple random ensemble runs. Snow weenies will ignore the “long shot” part and then cliff jump when it disappears. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Even though it's just rain this time, being able to get a region-wide soaker may not be a bad sign going forward... I'm from St. Louis.............. I want to measure it in my gauge. A "soaker" must be more than an inch. A quarter inch only lays the dust for about 36 hrs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 hmmmmmm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 holy flop lmfao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, bncho said: holy flop lmfao It's been uncanny how several threats that look so promising while looking at 500mb end up just like that. Gfs had one last night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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