Snowcrazed71 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 hours ago, George001 said: You should apologize to the Pope. Ha!! Ok... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The cutter keeps getting squashed on every gfs run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The cutter keeps getting squashed on every gfs run. Trend = friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Icon also turns the 1/10 storm into a SWFE. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Icon also turns the 1/10 storm into a SWFE. Can’t let this cyclone get wound up even a tad or it will cut. However if it gets shredded up into a SWFE, the weekend system is going to set up an intense boundary somewhere. North of that boundary will snow. A warm outcome is still the most likely path forward IMO given pattern fundamentals, but can’t deny the trends today as we emerge into a new time-scale paradigm for the period. It’s no longer looking like a huge ask to turn the tide here, at least for NNE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter. Yeah that failed handoff is really weird and kinda implausible. The atmosphere likes to stray towards efficient energy conservation, the ping ponging of strengthening between the primary and coastal reflection doesn’t really reflect that principle. I would err towards the primary remaining the more cohesive entity given the modeled dynamics, at least for what the 0Z GFS spits out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Kevin? We got a few flurries but where's my coating,?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Kevin? We got a few flurries but where's my coating,?? Not even a couple flurries here EDIT: It started snowing lightly right after I wrote that. A coating here now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 And, back to more of a cutter on the 6z GFS. The yo yo continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 30 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Not even a couple flurries here EDIT: It started snowing lightly right after I wrote that. A coating here now... Flurries driving back from Boston. Not enough to coat the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That cutter is going to give us a nice pouring 32-35 degree rain and probably a crusty six plus for the northern hinterlands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 41 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Not even a couple flurries here EDIT: It started snowing lightly right after I wrote that. A coating here now... Can't wait to find out who got the 1 inch jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Can't wait to find out who got the 1 inch jackpot everything is whitened up here.. not a inch though.. I have the flu so haven't been out to check how much we actually have.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 23 minutes ago, kdxken said: Looks like we're on track for the pattern change after this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 A few flakes in the air this morning while out walking the pup. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: everything is whitened up here.. not a inch though.. I have the flu so haven't been out to check how much we actually have.. My goodness, what is up with all the sick people?? My two housemates were bedbound for days last week and still have coughs that would scare away Freddy Krueger. Hope you feel better soon man! Solid coating here....threatening .2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Just a light dusting out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Very light snow and small flakes here but everything is starting to get a bit of a coating on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Over performer this morning down here, glad I didn’t wash the truck, going to need the plows here , maybe an half inch to an in spots, BDR getting hit again, hires stuff was all well north of here interesting. Ensembles looked a touch worse/riskier overnight with more SE ridging and western roughing in the extended. Let’s see how 12z looks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Over performer this morning down here, glad I didn’t wash the truck, going to need the plows here , maybe an half inch to an in spots, BDR getting hit again. Ensembles looked a touch worse/riskier overnight with more SE ridging and western roughing in the extended. Let’s see how 12z looks. I thought they looked a bit better. Only looked at EPS and Euro AIFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 37 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Looks like we're on track for the pattern change after this storm. I think I’d wait a few days later TBH. Just to get it settled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought they looked a bit better. Only looked at EPS and Euro AIFS You are a risk taker lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Oh wow, coated up good. Snow covered roads once again. Just under 1” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: You are a risk taker lol I haven’t looked at the GEFS in months. Worthless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 It just seems like the SE ridge wasn’t raging which is good to see. Obviously it is a risk, but verbatim that would work. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, CoastalWx said: I haven’t looked at the GEFS in months. Worthless. Ya it’s the GEFS and GEPS that are worse, EPS and AIFS unchanged largely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Oh wow, coated up good. Snow covered roads once again. Just under 1” Where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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