Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,456
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    kmsrocknj
    Newest Member
    kmsrocknj
    Joined

January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Icon also turns the 1/10 storm into a SWFE. 

Can’t let this cyclone get wound up even a tad or it will cut. However if it gets shredded up into a SWFE, the weekend system is going to set up an intense boundary somewhere. North of that boundary will snow.

A warm outcome is still the most likely path forward IMO given pattern fundamentals, but can’t deny the trends today as we emerge into a new time-scale paradigm for the period. It’s no longer looking like a huge ask to turn the tide here, at least for NNE

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter.

Yeah that failed handoff is really weird and kinda implausible. The atmosphere likes to stray towards efficient energy conservation, the ping ponging of strengthening between the primary and coastal reflection doesn’t really reflect that principle.

I would err towards the primary remaining the more cohesive entity given the modeled dynamics, at least for what the 0Z GFS spits out

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

everything is whitened up here.. not a inch though.. I have the flu so haven't been out to check how much we actually have.. 

My goodness, what is up with all the sick people?? My two housemates were bedbound for days last week and still have coughs that would scare away Freddy Krueger.

Hope you feel better soon man!

Solid coating here....threatening .2

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Over performer this morning down here, glad I didn’t wash the truck, going to need the plows here , maybe an half inch to an in spots, BDR getting hit again, hires stuff was all well north of here interesting. 

Ensembles looked a touch worse/riskier overnight with more SE ridging and western roughing in the extended.  Let’s see how 12z looks. 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Over performer this morning down here, glad I didn’t wash the truck, going to need the plows here , maybe an half inch to an in spots, BDR getting hit again.

Ensembles looked a touch worse/riskier overnight with more SE ridging and western roughing in the extended.  Let’s see how 12z looks. 

I thought they looked a bit better. Only looked at EPS and Euro AIFS

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...