January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[Krs4Lfe]

Models punting the originally expected "good pattern" through first week of January. Onto the next week, and the next week, and I bet the week after that. Mild and warmth returns to most of CONUS except northeast starting next week. No sustained cold or snow for most of country. We might remain cold, but it'll be hard to snow with such persistent warm all around. Terrible look 

[Volcanic Winter]

Wind has been absolutely insane. My Tempest is NOT in a good spot for measuring windspeed and it’s routinely returning 30mph gusts, higher than I’ve ever seen from it except in like 2-3 other instances which were one off gusts. 

[MJO812]

39 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Models punting the originally expected "good pattern" through first week of January. Onto the next week, and the next week, and I bet the week after that. Mild and warmth returns to most of CONUS except northeast starting next week. No sustained cold or snow for most of country. We might remain cold, but it'll be hard to snow with such persistent warm all around. Terrible look 

You said the same thing about this month. Take a break.

[MJO812]

Clipper Thursday  and clipper Sunday. 

[jm1220]

51 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Models punting the originally expected "good pattern" through first week of January. Onto the next week, and the next week, and I bet the week after that. Mild and warmth returns to most of CONUS except northeast starting next week. No sustained cold or snow for most of country. We might remain cold, but it'll be hard to snow with such persistent warm all around. Terrible look 

The cold will definitely take a break at some point, but it took a break in every good winter we’ve had. We don’t live in the Yukon. 

[NEG NAO]

20 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The cold will definitely take a break at some point, but it took a break in every good winter we’ve had. We don’t live in the Yukon. 

of course it will take a break but smaller breaks through January before the next arctic front comes through - also those great lakes cutters especially on the GFS are hard to believe with that massive blocking stretched across Greenland and westward - GFS has done this before trying to force the LP's to far into the block

[psv88]

7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

of course it will take a break but smaller breaks through January before the next arctic front comes through - also those great lakes cutters especially on the GFS are hard to believe with that massive blocking stretched across Greenland and westward - GFS has done this before trying to force the LP's to far into the block

Be careful dismissing those cutters. Many hobbyists have made the mistake of discounting cutters due to a block...yet we have seen many cutters slice right into those blocks like a warm knife through butter.

[David-LI]

euro 12z 

[jm1220]

8 minutes ago, David-LI said:

euro 12z 

Interesting setup. Probably an inch or two type deal but nice refresher and possibly more with just a little better/sooner redevelopment.